BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

On the board
0 priced of 124
Median gap
—
Straight up
104–32
Model state
—
Wk 0 Wk 1 Wk 2 Wk 3 Wk 4 Wk 5 Wk 6 Wk 7 Wk 8 Wk 9 Wk 10 Wk 11 Wk 12 Wk 13 Wk 14 Wk 15
● Top projected winners 76% · 104-32 this season

The model's most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Graded straight-up on the public record once games are played.

Top projected winners ranked by our win probability · graded straight up, never against a price
Notre Dame
-5.0 · 70%
over Miami
-238 DraftKings
Top spread reads ranked by the book’s de-vigged lean toward our side — the only calibrated cover probability here; “we differ by” is distance, not confidence

No game on this slate has a book spread to compare against yet.

Top total reads ranked by the book’s de-vigged lean toward our side; the points are our distance from the line

No game on this slate has a book total to compare against yet.

Top team totals our projected score against the book’s team total · 0 games priced this week

No book has posted a team total on this slate yet.

All games 124 Sheet Panels All games
KickoffMatchupDivOur side Our projectionMarket Best number (tap to add)
2026-11-037:00 PM Ohio @ Akron Akron, OH FBS OHIO to winAKR 54% 25–28 · 52.6 — no line
2026-11-037:00 PM Buffalo @ Miami (OH) Oxford, OH FBS M-OH to winM-OH 72% 21–32 · 53.1 — no line
2026-11-04TBD Ball State @ Massachusetts Amherst, MA FBS BALL to winBALL 56% 27–26 · 52.7 — no line
2026-11-04TBD Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan Detroit, MI · neutral FBS CMU to winEMU 52% 24–25 · 48.7 — no line
2026-11-04TBD Toledo @ Sacramento State Sacramento, CA FBS FCS TOL to winTOL 87% 38–19 · 57.1 — no line
2026-11-055:00 PM South Carolina State @ Howard Washington, DC FCS SCST to winSCST 81% 36–22 · 57.8 — no line
2026-11-058:00 PM UTSA @ Florida Atlantic Boca Raton, FL FBS UTSA to winUTSA 82% 38–23 · 61.7 — no line
2026-11-058:00 PM James Madison @ Southern Miss Hattiesburg, MS FBS JMU to winJMU 70% 29–24 · 53.1 — no line
2026-11-067:00 PM ● Virginia Tech @ SMU Dallas, TX FBS SMU to winSMU 85% 20–33 · 53.7 — no line
2026-11-067:30 PM South Florida @ East Carolina Greenville, NC FBS USF to winUSF 66% 33–21 · 54.6 — no line
2026-11-068:00 PM ● Nebraska @ Illinois Champaign, IL FBS ILL to winILL 51% 26–27 · 52.6 — no line
2026-11-069:00 PM New Mexico @ Nevada Reno, NV FBS UNM to winUNM 61% 28–22 · 50.3 — no line
2026-11-0610:15 PM ● TCU @ Arizona Tucson, AZ FBS ARIZ to winARIZ 67% 20–31 · 50.3 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● Arkansas @ Auburn Auburn, AL FBS AUB to winAUB 78% 19–32 · 50.5 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● Oklahoma @ Florida Gainesville, FL FBS OU to winOU 55% 26–24 · 49.5 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● Alabama @ LSU Baton Rouge, LA FBS ALA to winALA 62% 27–25 · 51.9 —
2026-11-07TBD ● Georgia @ Ole Miss Oxford, MS FBS MISS to winUGA 58% 31–27 · 57.9 —
2026-11-07TBD ● Vanderbilt @ Mississippi State Starkville, MS FBS MSST to winMSST 51% 26–31 · 57.2 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● Texas @ Missouri Columbia, MO FBS TEX to winTEX 68% 30–22 · 51.9 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● Texas A&M @ South Carolina Columbia, SC FBS TA&M to winTA&M 76% 30–23 · 52.7 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● Kentucky @ Tennessee Knoxville, TN FBS TENN to winTENN 81% 20–36 · 56.2 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● BYU @ Utah Salt Lake City, UT FBS UTAH to winUTAH 66% 23–28 · 50.7 —
2026-11-07TBD ● UCF @ Kansas Lawrence, KS FBS UCF to winUCF 55% 24–24 · 48.1 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● Cincinnati @ Houston Houston, TX FBS CIN to winHOU 51% 23–27 · 50.5 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● Colorado @ Arizona State Tempe, AZ FBS ASU to winASU 53% 24–27 · 51.0 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● Iowa State @ Baylor Waco, TX FBS ISU to winBAY 57% 23–27 · 50.5 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● Oklahoma State @ Kansas State Manhattan, KS FBS KSU to winKSU 88% 14–39 · 52.3 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● West Virginia @ Texas Tech Lubbock, TX FBS TTU to winTTU 87% 18–38 · 55.6 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● Clemson @ Syracuse Syracuse, NY FBS CLEM to winCLEM 70% 31–19 · 49.7 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● Duke @ NC State Raleigh, NC FBS DUKE to winDUKE 64% 27–26 · 52.7 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● Louisville @ Georgia Tech Atlanta, GA FBS LOU to winLOU 69% 31–22 · 52.9 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● Florida State @ Boston College Chestnut Hill, MA FBS FSU to winFSU 73% 30–20 · 50.0 — no line
2026-11-07TBD Merrimack @ Wake Forest Winston-Salem, NC FCS FBS WAKE to winWAKE 99% 6–45 · 50.6 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● Michigan State @ Michigan Ann Arbor, MI FBS MICH to winMICH 70% 18–28 · 46.0 —
2026-11-07TBD ● UCLA @ Minnesota Minneapolis, MN FBS UCLA to winUCLA 75% 29–19 · 47.7 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● Iowa @ Northwestern Evanston, IL FBS IOWA to winIOWA 64% 26–20 · 45.6 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● Oregon @ Ohio State Columbus, OH FBS OSU to winOSU 74% 20–31 · 51.0 —
2026-11-07TBD ● Maryland @ Purdue West Lafayette, IN FBS MD to winMD 54% 28–26 · 53.8 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● Penn State @ Washington Seattle, WA FBS PSU to winPSU 63% 24–21 · 45.0 — no line
2026-11-07TBD ● Rutgers @ Wisconsin Madison, WI FBS WIS to winWIS 77% 19–30 · 48.8 — no line
2026-11-07TBD Charlotte @ UAB Birmingham, AL FBS UAB to winUAB 75% 22–30 · 52.3 — no line
2026-11-07TBD Rice @ North Texas Denton, TX FBS UNT to winUNT 89% 19–37 · 56.3 — no line
2026-11-07TBD Tulsa @ Tulane New Orleans, LA FBS TULN to winTULN 73% 18–30 · 47.6 — no line
2026-11-07TBD Hawai'i @ UTEP El Paso, TX FBS HAW to winUTEP 55% 26–26 · 52.5 — no line
2026-11-07TBD Northern Illinois @ San José State San Jose, CA FBS SJSU to winSJSU 63% 25–26 · 50.8 — no line
2026-11-07TBD Wagner @ Mercyhurst Erie, PA FCS MERC to winMERC 56% 26–28 · 53.7 — no line
2026-11-07TBD Georgia State @ App State Boone, NC FBS APP to winAPP 67% 23–30 · 52.6 — no line
2026-11-07TBD Old Dominion @ Coastal Carolina Conway, SC FBS ODU to winODU 58% 30–27 · 56.5 — no line
2026-11-07TBD Marshall @ Georgia Southern Statesboro, GA FBS GASO to winMRSH 57% 27–26 · 53.5 — no line
2026-11-07TBD South Alabama @ Louisiana Lafayette, LA FBS UL to winUL 61% 25–29 · 53.8 — no line
2026-11-07TBD Louisiana Tech @ Troy Troy, AL FBS TROY to winLT 51% 26–25 · 50.9 — no line
2026-11-0712:00 PM ● North Carolina @ UConn East Hartford, CT FBS UNC to winUNC 70% 30–19 · 49.4 — no line
2026-11-0712:00 PM North Carolina A&T @ Monmouth West Long Branch, NJ FCS MONM to winMONM 90% 20–42 · 61.8 — no line
2026-11-0712:00 PM Towson @ Sacred Heart Fairfield, CT FCS TOW to winTOW 52% 27–26 · 52.5 — no line
2026-11-0712:00 PM Brown @ Yale New Haven, CT FCS YALE to winYALE 87% 20–38 · 57.6 — no line
2026-11-0712:00 PM Dartmouth @ Princeton Princeton, NJ FCS DART to winDART 58% 26–23 · 49.5 — no line
2026-11-0712:00 PM Long Island University @ New Haven West Haven, CT FCS LIU to winLIU 56% 28–26 · 53.6 — no line
2026-11-0712:00 PM Robert Morris @ Duquesne Pittsburgh, PA FCS RMU to winRMU 53% 26–25 · 50.8 — no line
2026-11-0712:00 PM North Carolina Central @ Norfolk State Norfolk, VA FCS NORF to winNORF 61% 27–32 · 58.5 — no line
2026-11-0712:00 PM Colgate @ Lehigh Bethlehem, PA FCS LEH to winLEH 88% 18–36 · 53.8 — no line
2026-11-0712:00 PM Valparaiso @ Dayton Dayton, OH FCS DAY to winDAY 89% 17–37 · 54.5 — no line
2026-11-0712:00 PM Morehead State @ Marist Poughkeepsie, NY FCS MRST to winMRST 61% 24–29 · 53.2 — no line
2026-11-0712:30 PM Holy Cross @ Georgetown Washington, DC FCS HC to winHC 53% 26–25 · 51.3 — no line
2026-11-071:00 PM UAlbany @ Bryant Smithfield, RI FCS UALB to winUALB 51% 25–25 · 49.4 — no line
2026-11-071:00 PM Stony Brook @ Campbell Buies Creek, NC FCS CAM to winCAM 70% 27–35 · 61.7 — no line
2026-11-071:00 PM Rhode Island @ New Hampshire Durham, NH FCS URI to winURI 79% 36–23 · 58.6 — no line
2026-11-071:00 PM Columbia @ Harvard Cambridge, MA FCS HARV to winHARV 94% 14–39 · 53.5 — no line
2026-11-071:00 PM Pennsylvania @ Cornell Ithaca, NY FCS PENN to winPENN 61% 30–26 · 55.7 — no line
2026-11-071:00 PM Central Connecticut @ Stonehill North Easton, MA FCS CCSU to winCCSU 62% 30–25 · 54.4 — no line
2026-11-071:00 PM Morgan State @ Delaware State Dover, DE FCS DSU to winDSU 73% 20–30 · 50.7 — no line
2026-11-071:00 PM Fordham @ Bucknell Lewisburg, PA FCS BUCK to winBUCK 64% 21–27 · 47.4 — no line
2026-11-071:00 PM Lafayette @ William & Mary Williamsburg, VA FCS W&M to winW&M 75% 24–35 · 59.5 — no line
2026-11-071:00 PM Richmond @ Villanova Philadelphia, PA FCS VILL to winVILL 64% 24–30 · 54.7 — no line
2026-11-071:00 PM St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Butler Indianapolis, IN FCS BUT to winBUT 53% 29–30 · 59.1 — no line
2026-11-071:00 PM Stetson @ Davidson Davidson, NC FCS DAV to winDAV 58% 29–32 · 60.7 — no line
2026-11-071:00 PM San Diego @ Drake Des Moines, IA FCS DRKE to winDRKE 60% 28–32 · 59.7 — no line
2026-11-071:00 PM Mercer @ Chattanooga Chattanooga, TN FCS MER to winMER 69% 30–22 · 52.0 — no line
2026-11-071:00 PM Samford @ East Tennessee State Johnson City, TN FCS ETSU to winETSU 86% 20–38 · 57.9 — no line
2026-11-071:00 PM Wofford @ Western Carolina Cullowhee, NC FCS WCU to winWCU 56% 26–29 · 54.8 — no line
2026-11-071:30 PM Lindenwood @ Gardner-Webb Boiling Springs, NC FCS GWEB to winGWEB 76% 23–34 · 57.0 — no line
2026-11-072:00 PM Hampton @ Elon Elon, NC FCS ELON to winELON 97% 9–40 · 48.7 — no line
2026-11-072:00 PM Illinois State @ North Dakota Grand Forks, ND FCS UND to winUND 56% 30–32 · 61.8 — no line
2026-11-072:00 PM Youngstown State @ Murray State Murray, KY FCS YSU to winYSU 94% 43–18 · 60.7 — no line
2026-11-072:00 PM UT Martin @ Charleston Southern Charleston, SC FCS UTM to winUTM 57% 24–21 · 44.2 — no line
2026-11-072:00 PM UT Rio Grande Valley @ Northwestern State Natchitoches, LA FCS UT R to winUT R 97% 46–15 · 61.0 — no line
2026-11-072:00 PM Furman @ The Citadel Charleston, SC FCS FUR to winFUR 77% 33–21 · 54.2 — no line
2026-11-072:00 PM South Dakota State @ Northern Iowa Cedar Falls, IA FCS SDST to winSDST 67% 33–26 · 58.6 — no line
2026-11-072:30 PM VMI @ Tennessee Tech Cookeville, TN FCS TNTC to winTNTC 99% 8–44 · 51.2 — no line
2026-11-073:00 PM Portland State @ Montana Missoula, MT FCS MONT to winMONT 94% 17–43 · 60.1 — no line
2026-11-073:00 PM Northern Colorado @ Southern Utah Cedar City, UT FCS SUU to winSUU 73% 24–34 · 58.4 — no line
2026-11-073:00 PM Western Illinois @ Eastern Illinois Charleston, IL FCS WIU to winWIU 59% 32–29 · 61.5 — no line
2026-11-073:00 PM Alabama A&M @ Prairie View A&M Prairie View, TX FCS PV to winPV 75% 24–35 · 59.2 — no line
2026-11-073:00 PM Alabama State @ Texas Southern Houston, TX FCS ALST to winALST 74% 34–23 · 56.8 — no line
2026-11-073:00 PM Florida A&M @ Alcorn State Lorman, MS FCS ALCN to winALCN 56% 29–31 · 59.6 — no line
2026-11-073:00 PM Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Grambling Grambling, LA FCS GRAM to winGRAM 83% 25–40 · 65.4 — no line
2026-11-073:00 PM Bethune-Cookman @ Southern Baton Rouge, LA FCS BCU to winBCU 66% 35–29 · 64.0 — no line
2026-11-073:00 PM Mississippi Valley State @ Jackson State Jackson, MS FCS JKST to winJKST 93% 18–42 · 59.4 — no line
2026-11-073:00 PM UL Monroe @ Arkansas State Jonesboro, AR FBS ARST to winARST 74% 23–32 · 54.3 — no line
2026-11-073:00 PM Delaware @ Kennesaw State Kennesaw, GA FBS DEL to winDEL 63% 30–24 · 54.2 — no line
2026-11-073:30 PM Temple @ Navy Annapolis, MD FBS NAVY to winNAVY 56% 23–28 · 51.3 — no line
2026-11-073:30 PM Southeast Missouri State @ Tennessee State Nashville, TN FCS SEMO to winSEMO 74% 29–18 · 47.3 — no line
2026-11-073:30 PM Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee Murfreesboro, TN FBS WKU to winWKU 50% 29–28 · 56.7 — no line
2026-11-074:00 PM Stephen F. Austin @ Lamar Beaumont, TX FCS SFA to winSFA 80% 31–17 · 48.4 — no line
2026-11-074:00 PM East Texas A&M @ Nicholls Thibodaux, LA FCS NICH to winNICH 66% 24–31 · 55.2 — no line
2026-11-074:00 PM Missouri State @ Florida International Miami, FL FBS FIU to winFIU 51% 25–26 · 51.4 — no line
2026-11-075:00 PM Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay Clarksville, TN FCS APSU to winAPSU 92% 15–38 · 52.7 — no line
2026-11-075:00 PM Northern Arizona @ Cal Poly San Luis Obispo, CA FCS NAU to winNAU 53% 30–29 · 58.5 — no line
2026-11-075:00 PM Eastern Washington @ Idaho Moscow, ID FCS IDHO to winIDHO 54% 29–31 · 59.9 — no line
2026-11-075:00 PM West Georgia @ Central Arkansas Conway, AR FCS CARK to winCARK 82% 21–36 · 56.8 — no line
2026-11-075:00 PM McNeese @ Houston Christian Houston, TX FCS MCN to winMCN 75% 33–22 · 54.3 — no line
2026-11-075:00 PM Liberty @ New Mexico State Las Cruces, NM FBS LIB to winNMSU 53% 25–25 · 50.0 — no line
2026-11-076:00 PM Boise State @ Colorado State Fort Collins, CO FBS BOIS to winBOIS 79% 31–22 · 52.7 — no line
2026-11-076:00 PM Southern Illinois @ Indiana State Terre Haute, IN FCS SIU to winSIU 76% 36–24 · 60.4 — no line
2026-11-076:00 PM Montana State @ Idaho State Pocatello, ID FCS MTST to winMTST 79% 36–23 · 59.1 — no line
2026-11-077:00 PM Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State Stephenville, TX FCS TAR to winTAR 82% 20–35 · 55.7 — no line
2026-11-077:00 PM West Florida @ North Alabama Florence, AL NON-D1 FCS WEST to winWEST 72% 33–23 · 56.4 — no line
2026-11-077:00 PM Utah Tech @ UC Davis Davis, CA FCS UCD to winUCD 92% 17–40 · 56.8 — no line
2026-11-077:00 PM Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana Hammond, LA FCS UIW to winUIW 66% 33–26 · 59.3 — no line
2026-11-077:00 PM Sam Houston @ Jacksonville State Jacksonville, AL FBS JXST to winJXST 78% 20–31 · 51.8 — no line
2026-11-077:30 PM ● Miami @ Notre Dame Notre Dame, IN FBS ND to winND 70% 23–28 · 51.3 —
2026-11-077:30 PM Air Force @ Army West Point, NY FBS ARMY to winARMY 69% 18–28 · 45.7 — no line
2026-11-079:30 PM Fresno State @ Utah State Logan, UT FBS FRES to winFRES 50% 29–22 · 50.9 — no line
2026-11-0710:30 PM Texas State @ Oregon State Corvallis, OR FBS TXST to winTXST 61% 30–25 · 55.0 — no line
2026-11-0710:30 PM Wyoming @ UNLV Las Vegas, NV FBS UNLV to winUNLV 83% 18–30 · 47.7 — no line

Every row links to its full breakdown.