Our side
MoneylineFSU to win
ours 27%
Projected score
30–20
FSU – BC
2026-11-07 · kickoff TBD
Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) · Chestnut Hill, MA
ACC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Florida State lead
16–6
· 22 meetings since 1957
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Florida State Seminoles
135 ranks
Florida State Seminoles #21 rush offense
Boston College Eagles #156 run defense
Pass game
edge Florida State Seminoles
164 ranks
Florida State Seminoles #32 pass offense
Boston College Eagles #196 pass defense
Run game
edge Florida State Seminoles
68 ranks
Boston College Eagles #175 rush offense
Florida State Seminoles #107 run defense
Pass game
edge Florida State Seminoles
71 ranks
Boston College Eagles #140 pass offense
Florida State Seminoles #69 pass defense
Florida State Seminoles
Run-heavy · 60% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 46 rush ypg
Boston College Eagles
Balanced · 45% run
Avg pace
Mike Norvell · 76-50
Bill O'Brien · 9-16
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Florida State Seminoles
DB
Ashlynd Barker
15 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#32 DB
RB
Ousmane Kromah
231 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec
#31 RB
RB
Samuel Singleton Jr.
66 rush yds · 1 TD · 6 rec
#36 RB
LB
Chris Jones
15 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#77 LB
Boston College Eagles
LB
Anthony Palano
22 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#3 LB
DB
Marcus Upton
13 tkl · 2 PD
#134 DB
DL
E'Lla Boykin
8 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#211 DL
RB
Evan Dickens
103 rush yds · 2 TD · 6 rec
#85 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Florida State offense vs Boston College defense+3.7 pts
Boston College offense vs Florida State defense-8.2 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,097 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.