Our side
MoneylineW&M to win
ours 75%
Projected score
24–35
LAF – W&M
2026-11-07 · 1:00 PM
Walter J. Zable Stadium · Williamsburg, VA
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
William & Mary lead
6–1
· 7 meetings since 2012
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Lafayette Leopards
144 ranks
Lafayette Leopards #94 rush offense
William & Mary Tribe #238 run defense
Pass game
edge Lafayette Leopards
80 ranks
Lafayette Leopards #133 pass offense
William & Mary Tribe #213 pass defense
Run game
edge William & Mary Tribe
72 ranks
William & Mary Tribe #104 rush offense
Lafayette Leopards #176 run defense
Pass game
even
15 ranks apart
William & Mary Tribe #102 pass offense
Lafayette Leopards #117 pass defense
Lafayette Leopards
Balanced · 56% run
Avg pace
William & Mary Tribe
Balanced · 56% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 56 rush ypg
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Lafayette Leopards
LB
Beckham Dee
16 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#75 LB
DB
Dhonte Jackson
19 tkl · 1 PD
#139 DB
LB
Callahan Blair
9 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#283 LB
DB
Darrick LeBeouf
10 tkl · 1 INT
#516 DB
William & Mary Tribe
DL
Nathaniel McDonald
8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#37 DL
K
Max Lipinski
8 FG · 5 XP · 29 pts
#13 K
DB
Trevon Cannon
17 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#130 DB
DB
David Roulley
14 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#157 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Lafayette offense vs William & Mary defense-0.6 pts
William & Mary offense vs Lafayette defense+7.3 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.