← Matchups

Oklahoma State

B12 · 1-1 · power +7.3 · #99
Our numberKSU -25.0 no book has priced this game

Kansas State

B12 · 2-0 · power +24.9 · #17
Our side
MoneylineKSU to win ours 88%
Projected score 14–39 OKST – KSU
2026-11-07 · kickoff TBD Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS B12 game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Oklahoma State lead 43–26 · 69 meetings since 1917
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Kansas State Wildcats 105 ranks
Oklahoma State Cowboys #257 rush offense Kansas State Wildcats #152 run defense
Pass game edge Kansas State Wildcats 169 ranks
Oklahoma State Cowboys #244 pass offense Kansas State Wildcats #75 pass defense
Run game edge Kansas State Wildcats 133 ranks
Kansas State Wildcats #88 rush offense Oklahoma State Cowboys #221 run defense
Pass game edge Kansas State Wildcats 120 ranks
Kansas State Wildcats #124 pass offense Oklahoma State Cowboys #244 pass defense
Oklahoma State Cowboys Balanced · 51% run Ball-control Kansas State Wildcats Balanced · 57% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 40 rush ypg
Mike Gundy · 86-46 Chris Klieman · 54-34

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Oklahoma State Cowboys
WR Wyatt Young 13 rec · 205 yds · 1 TD #44 WR
RB Caleb Hawkins 189 rush yds · 1 TD · 8 rec #56 RB
LB Ethan Wesloski 16 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 0.5 TFL #101 LB
QB Drew Mestemaker 558 pass yds · 3 TD · 4 INT #38 QB
Kansas State Wildcats
RB Joe Jackson 106 rush yds · 1 TD · 6 rec #22 RB
WR Josh Manning 13 rec · 130 yds · 2 TD #51 WR
DL Wendell Gregory 7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #121 DL
RB Rodney Fields Jr. 206 rush yds · 2 TD #55 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Oklahoma State CowboysB12 +7.3 +1.5 +5.9 #99
Kansas State WildcatsB12 +24.9 +15.7 +9.2 #17

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Oklahoma State offense vs Kansas State defense-7.7 pts
Kansas State offense vs Oklahoma State defense+9.8 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.