← Matchups

Western Illinois

· 1-2 · power -9.9 · #294
Our numberWIU -3.5 no book has priced this game

Eastern Illinois

· 1-2 · power -14.5 · #341
Our side
MoneylineWIU to win ours 41%
Projected score 32–29 WIU – EIU
2026-11-07 · 3:00 PM O'Brien Field · Charleston, IL Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Eastern Illinois and Western Illinois split 4 (2–2) · 4 meetings since 2015
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Eastern Illinois Panthers 160 ranks
Western Illinois Leathernecks #182 rush offense Eastern Illinois Panthers #22 run defense
Pass game even 14 ranks apart
Western Illinois Leathernecks #240 pass offense Eastern Illinois Panthers #254 pass defense
Run game even 18 ranks apart
Eastern Illinois Panthers #233 rush offense Western Illinois Leathernecks #215 run defense
Pass game edge Western Illinois Leathernecks 45 ranks
Eastern Illinois Panthers #247 pass offense Western Illinois Leathernecks #202 pass defense
Western Illinois Leathernecks Balanced · 46% run Ball-control Eastern Illinois Panthers Run-heavy · 58% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Western Illinois Leathernecks
LB Nick Reinicke 18 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #57 LB
DB Aa'zoriyon Bonner 9 tkl · 1 PD #170 DB
DB Jouvenson Romulus 9 tkl · 1 INT #376 DB
DB Brayden Hapner 8 tkl · 2 PD #458 DB
Eastern Illinois Panthers
RB Charles Kellom 297 rush yds · 4 TD · 9 rec #14 RB
LB Ja'Wuan Nickson 21 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL #36 LB
DL Isaac Engle 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #253 DL
DL Aidan Archibald 4 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #340 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Western Illinois Leathernecks -9.9 -1.1 -8.8 #294
Eastern Illinois Panthers -14.5 -5.9 -8.6 #341

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Western Illinois offense vs Eastern Illinois defense+7.5 pts
Eastern Illinois offense vs Western Illinois defense+2.9 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-1.5 pts
Power projection before adjustment-2.0

The projection carries an efficiency adjustment — a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).