← Matchups

Alabama

SEC · 2-0 (1-0 SEC) · power +33.7 · #4
Our numberALA -1.3 no book has priced this game

LSU

SEC · 2-0 · power +27.0 · #10
Our side
MoneylineALA to win ours 38%
Projected score 27–25 ALA – LSU
2026-11-07 · kickoff TBD Tiger Stadium (LA) · Baton Rouge, LA SEC game Early season

The books 1 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book ALA spreadLSU spread OverUnder ALA winLSU win ALA TT overALA TT under LSU TT overLSU TT under
DraftKings

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Series Alabama lead 58–26–5 · 89 meetings since 1902
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge LSU Tigers 184 ranks
Alabama Crimson Tide #213 rush offense LSU Tigers #29 run defense
Pass game even 41 ranks apart
Alabama Crimson Tide #49 pass offense LSU Tigers #90 pass defense
Run game edge Alabama Crimson Tide 73 ranks
LSU Tigers #170 rush offense Alabama Crimson Tide #97 run defense
Pass game edge Alabama Crimson Tide 148 ranks
LSU Tigers #177 pass offense Alabama Crimson Tide #29 pass defense
Alabama Crimson Tide Balanced · 48% run Ball-control LSU Tigers Balanced · 45% run Ball-control
Kalen DeBoer · 57-17 Frank Wilson · 21-32 · defense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Alabama Crimson Tide
K Conor Talty 5 FG · 10 XP · 25 pts #2 K
LB Yhonzae Pierre 4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #30 LB
LB Luke Metz 10 tkl #35 LB
RB Daniel Hill 151 rush yds · 3 TD · 4 rec #29 RB
LSU Tigers
DL Jordan Ross 7 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL #3 DL
DL Princewill Umanmielen 11 tkl · 4.5 sacks · 6.0 TFL #4 DL
TE Trey'Dez Green 10 rec · 162 yds · 1 TD #5 TE
RB Dilin Jones 179 rush yds · 2 TD · 4 rec #45 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Alabama Crimson TideSEC +33.7 +18.9 +14.9 #4
LSU TigersSEC +27.0 +12.8 +14.2 #10

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Alabama offense vs LSU defense+4.6 pts
LSU offense vs Alabama defense-2.1 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.