← Matchups

Oregon

B1G · 1-1 · power +26.0 · #15
Our numberOSU -11.1 no book has priced this game

Ohio State

B1G · 1-1 · power +34.9 · #2
Our side
MoneylineOSU to win ours 74%
Projected score 20–31 ORE – OSU
2026-11-07 · kickoff TBD Ohio Stadium · Columbus, OH B1G game Early season

The books 1 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book ORE spreadOSU spread OverUnder ORE winOSU win ORE TT overORE TT under OSU TT overOSU TT under
DraftKings

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Series Ohio State lead 10–2 · 12 meetings since 1957
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 8 ranks apart
Oregon Ducks #12 rush offense Ohio State Buckeyes #4 run defense
Pass game even 21 ranks apart
Oregon Ducks #30 pass offense Ohio State Buckeyes #9 pass defense
Run game even 36 ranks apart
Ohio State Buckeyes #117 rush offense Oregon Ducks #81 run defense
Pass game even 42 ranks apart
Ohio State Buckeyes #7 pass offense Oregon Ducks #49 pass defense
Oregon Ducks Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Ohio State Buckeyes Balanced · 52% run Ball-control
Dan Lanning · 48-8 Ryan Day · 82-12

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Oregon Ducks
LB Devon Jackson 12 tkl #38 LB
DL Bear Alexander 12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #79 DL
LB Teitum Tuioti 10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #62 LB
WR Dakorien Moore 9 rec · 138 yds · 2 TD #68 WR
Ohio State Buckeyes
WR Jeremiah Smith 16 rec · 315 yds · 3 TD #7 WR
QB Julian Sayin 598 pass yds · 4 TD · 1 INT #32 QB
RB Bo Jackson 157 rush yds · 1 TD · 5 rec #73 RB
DB Earl Little Jr. 15 tkl · 1 PD #175 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Oregon DucksB1G +26.0 +17.2 +8.8 #15
Ohio State BuckeyesB1G +34.9 +15.1 +19.7 #2

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Oregon offense vs Ohio State defense-2.6 pts
Ohio State offense vs Oregon defense+6.3 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 2,054 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.