Our side
MoneylineHAW to win
ours 45%
Projected score
26–26
HAW – UTEP
2026-11-07 · kickoff TBD
Sun Bowl · El Paso, TX
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Hawai'i lead
18–13
· 31 meetings since 1948
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge UTEP Miners
146 ranks
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors #205 rush offense
UTEP Miners #59 run defense
Pass game
even
17 ranks apart
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors #97 pass offense
UTEP Miners #114 pass defense
Run game
edge Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
52 ranks
UTEP Miners #177 rush offense
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors #125 run defense
Pass game
edge Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
105 ranks
UTEP Miners #250 pass offense
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors #145 pass defense
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Balanced · 42% run
Avg pace
UTEP Miners
Balanced · 50% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg
Timmy Chang · 22-29
Scotty Walden · 6-22 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
DB
Kona Moore
30 tkl · 2 PD
#13 DB
RB
DeVon Rice
167 rush yds · 3 TD · 10 rec
#23 RB
LB
Jamih Otis
26 tkl
#53 LB
DB
Matagi Thompson
15 tkl · 4 PD
#122 DB
UTEP Miners
TE
Cash Cheeks
3 rec · 51 yds · 2 TD
#55 TE
QB
EJ Colson Jr.
291 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT
#73 QB
RB
Tavorus Jones
128 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec
#205 RB
DL
Derek Burns
4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#516 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Hawai'i offense vs UTEP defense+1.6 pts
UTEP offense vs Hawai'i defense-2.6 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 3,224 mi
Altitude · context only1,179 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.