← Matchups

South Dakota State

· 2-1 · power +5.6 · #114
Our numberSDST -7.1 no book has priced this game

Northern Iowa

· 1-1 · power -4.0 · #230
Our side
MoneylineSDST to win ours 33%
Projected score 33–26 SDST – UNI
2026-11-07 · 2:00 PM UNI-Dome · Cedar Falls, IA Conference game Indoors Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Northern Iowa and South Dakota State split 22 (11–11) · 22 meetings since 2006
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge South Dakota State Jackrabbits 92 ranks
South Dakota State Jackrabbits #107 rush offense Northern Iowa Panthers #199 run defense
Pass game edge South Dakota State Jackrabbits 90 ranks
South Dakota State Jackrabbits #111 pass offense Northern Iowa Panthers #201 pass defense
Run game edge South Dakota State Jackrabbits 193 ranks
Northern Iowa Panthers #223 rush offense South Dakota State Jackrabbits #30 run defense
Pass game edge South Dakota State Jackrabbits 81 ranks
Northern Iowa Panthers #174 pass offense South Dakota State Jackrabbits #93 pass defense
South Dakota State Jackrabbits Run-heavy · 60% run Avg pace Northern Iowa Panthers Balanced · 57% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
K Tristan Alvano 6 FG · 17 XP · 35 pts #4 K
P Max Pelham 10 punts · 47.9 yd avg #3 P
TE Greyton Gannon 5 rec · 81 yds · 2 TD #36 TE
WR Grahm Goering 13 rec · 254 yds #127 WR
Northern Iowa Panthers
TE Brady McCullough 7 rec · 98 yds · 3 TD #11 TE
DB Calvin Jaworski 7 tkl · 1 INT #132 DB
LB John Powers 20 tkl #123 LB
LB Kolben Miller 12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #151 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
South Dakota State Jackrabbits +5.6 +5.7 -0.1 #114
Northern Iowa Panthers -4.0 -2.5 -1.5 #230

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
South Dakota State offense vs Northern Iowa defense+7.2 pts
Northern Iowa offense vs South Dakota State defense-2.4 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.