← Matchups

Wofford

· 2-1 (1-0) · power -5.1 · #246
Our numberWCU -2.6 no book has priced this game

Western Carolina

· 1-2 · power -3.8 · #226
Our side
MoneylineWCU to win ours 56%
Projected score 26–29 WOF – WCU
2026-11-07 · 1:00 PM E.J. Whitmire Stadium · Cullowhee, NC Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Wofford lead 14–12 · 26 meetings since 1977
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 11 ranks apart
Wofford Terriers #230 rush offense Western Carolina Catamounts #219 run defense
Pass game even 9 ranks apart
Wofford Terriers #214 pass offense Western Carolina Catamounts #205 pass defense
Run game edge Wofford Terriers 155 ranks
Western Carolina Catamounts #162 rush offense Wofford Terriers #7 run defense
Pass game edge Western Carolina Catamounts 72 ranks
Western Carolina Catamounts #24 pass offense Wofford Terriers #96 pass defense
Wofford Terriers Balanced · 51% run Ball-control Western Carolina Catamounts Balanced · 46% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 36 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Wofford Terriers
LB Wyatt Ward 28 tkl · 2.5 TFL #16 LB
RB Gerald Modest Jr. 246 rush yds · 4 TD · 6 rec #26 RB
DB Cole Walker 14 tkl · 5 PD #75 DB
LB Javario Tinch 17 tkl · 1.5 TFL #86 LB
Western Carolina Catamounts
DB Andre Jackson Jr. 18 tkl · 4 PD #80 DB
DL Caleb Turner-Allen 8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #144 DL
TE Bode Burns 10 rec · 99 yds · 1 TD #40 TE
LB Joshua Collins 19 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #121 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Wofford Terriers -5.1 -10.2 +5.0 #246
Western Carolina Catamounts -3.8 +4.5 -8.3 #226

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Wofford offense vs Western Carolina defense-1.9 pts
Western Carolina offense vs Wofford defense-0.5 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-1.6 pts
Power projection before adjustment+4.2
Altitude · context only424 m higher than the visitor's home elevation

The projection carries an efficiency adjustment — a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.