← Matchups

UCF

B12 · 1-1 · power +13.6 · #63

Our numberUCF -0.8 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Kansas

B12 · 1-1 · power +9.5 · #89

Our side

MoneylineUCF to win ours 45%

Projected score 24–24 UCF – KU

2026-11-07 · kickoff TBD David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium · Lawrence, KS B12 game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Kansas lead 2–0 · 2 meetings since 2023

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Run game even ~~11 ranks apart~~

UCF Knights #111 rush offense Kansas Jayhawks #122 run defense

Pass game edge UCF Knights ~~53 ranks~~

UCF Knights #180 pass offense Kansas Jayhawks #233 pass defense

Run game edge Kansas Jayhawks ~~141 ranks~~

Kansas Jayhawks #38 rush offense UCF Knights #179 run defense

Pass game even ~~39 ranks apart~~

Kansas Jayhawks #78 pass offense UCF Knights #39 pass defense

UCF Knights Balanced · 48% run Ball-control Kansas Jayhawks Balanced · 54% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg

Scott Frost · 40-45 Lance Leipold · 64-68 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

UCF Knights

DB Jayden Williams 5 tkl · 1 INT #124 DB

DL Sincere Edwards 7 tkl · 2.0 TFL #205 DL

LB Lewis Carter 15 tkl · 0.5 TFL #172 LB

LB Tackett Curtis 13 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #200 LB

Kansas Jayhawks

DL Leroy Harris III 8 tkl · 4.0 TFL #49 DL

WR Nik McMillan 8 rec · 182 yds · 2 TD #72 WR

DL David Santiago 9 tkl · 2.5 TFL #232 DL

QB Isaiah Marshall 414 pass yds · 4 TD · 2 INT #64 QB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
UCF Knights~~B12~~	+13.6	+2.3	+11.3	#63
Kansas Jayhawks~~B12~~	+9.5	+7.6	+1.9	#89

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

UCF offense vs Kansas defense+0.4 pts

Kansas offense vs UCF defense-3.7 pts

Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,076 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.