Our side
MoneylinePSU to win
ours 37%
Projected score
24–21
PSU – WASH
2026-11-07 · kickoff TBD
Husky Stadium · Seattle, WA
B1G game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Penn State lead
4–0
· 4 meetings since 1921
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
3 ranks apart
Penn State Nittany Lions #35 rush offense
Washington Huskies #32 run defense
Pass game
even
36 ranks apart
Penn State Nittany Lions #96 pass offense
Washington Huskies #60 pass defense
Run game
edge Washington Huskies
97 ranks
Washington Huskies #18 rush offense
Penn State Nittany Lions #115 run defense
Pass game
even
21 ranks apart
Washington Huskies #29 pass offense
Penn State Nittany Lions #50 pass defense
Penn State Nittany Lions
Run-heavy · 59% run
Ball-control
Washington Huskies
Balanced · 53% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 50 rush ypg
Terry Smith · 4-3
Jedd Fisch · 32-33
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Penn State Nittany Lions
TE
Benjamin Brahmer
6 rec · 87 yds · 3 TD
#4 TE
LB
Tony Rojas
14 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#48 LB
WR
Koby Howard
9 rec · 229 yds · 1 TD
#71 WR
QB
Rocco Becht
539 pass yds · 7 TD · 0 INT
#30 QB
Washington Huskies
DB
Alex McLaughlin
15 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
#1 DB
QB
Demond Williams Jr.
517 pass yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
#25 QB
DL
Derek Colman-Brusa
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#175 DL
TE
Baron Naone
8 rec · 70 yds
#60 TE
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Penn State offense vs Washington defense-3.7 pts
Washington offense vs Penn State defense-11.1 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 2,219 mi
Altitude · context only344 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.