← Matchups

Kentucky

SEC · 1-1 (0-1 SEC) · power +14.3 · #58
Our numberTENN -15.2 no book has priced this game

Tennessee

SEC · 2-0 · power +26.9 · #12
Our side
MoneylineTENN to win ours 81%
Projected score 20–36 UK – TENN
2026-11-07 · kickoff TBD Neyland Stadium · Knoxville, TN SEC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Tennessee lead 84–25–9 · 118 meetings since 1906
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Tennessee Volunteers 99 ranks
Kentucky Wildcats #190 rush offense Tennessee Volunteers #91 run defense
Pass game edge Tennessee Volunteers 73 ranks
Kentucky Wildcats #168 pass offense Tennessee Volunteers #95 pass defense
Run game edge Tennessee Volunteers 90 ranks
Tennessee Volunteers #24 rush offense Kentucky Wildcats #114 run defense
Pass game edge Tennessee Volunteers 155 ranks
Tennessee Volunteers #31 pass offense Kentucky Wildcats #186 pass defense
Kentucky Wildcats Balanced · 56% run Ball-control Tennessee Volunteers Balanced · 52% run Avg pace
Mark Stoops · 75-63 Josh Heupel · 73-28 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Kentucky Wildcats
DL Mi'Quise Humphrey-Grace 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #5 DL
DB Jordan Castell 16 tkl · 1 INT #22 DB
DL Tavion Gadson 5 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL #33 DL
TE Willie Rodriguez 12 rec · 97 yds · 1 TD #16 TE
Tennessee Volunteers
DL Xavier Gilliam 8 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 5.5 TFL #36 DL
DB Dejuan Lane 4 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT #35 DB
RB DeSean Bishop 244 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec #16 RB
QB Faizon Brandon 374 pass yds · 5 TD · 0 INT #16 QB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Kentucky WildcatsSEC +14.3 +4.7 +9.5 #58
Tennessee VolunteersSEC +26.9 +22.0 +5.0 #12

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Kentucky offense vs Tennessee defense-0.2 pts
Tennessee offense vs Kentucky defense+12.4 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.