Our side
MoneylineUTM to win
ours 43%
Projected score
24–21
UTM – CHSO
2026-11-07 · 2:00 PM
Buccaneer Field · Charleston, SC
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
UT Martin lead
3–0
· 3 meetings since 2023
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Charleston Southern Buccaneers
128 ranks
UT Martin Skyhawks #199 rush offense
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #71 run defense
Pass game
edge UT Martin Skyhawks
96 ranks
UT Martin Skyhawks #108 pass offense
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #204 pass defense
Run game
edge UT Martin Skyhawks
125 ranks
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #210 rush offense
UT Martin Skyhawks #85 run defense
Pass game
edge Charleston Southern Buccaneers
91 ranks
Charleston Southern Buccaneers #157 pass offense
UT Martin Skyhawks #248 pass defense
UT Martin Skyhawks
Run-heavy · 63% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 38 rush ypg
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
UT Martin Skyhawks
P
Max Zuluaga
8 punts · 51.4 yd avg
#1 P
DB
Trey Cotton
23 tkl · 1 INT
#12 DB
DL
Chris Wilson
14 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#78 DL
DB
Jamal Mayers
12 tkl · 3 PD
#73 DB
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
LB
Tristan Lennon
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#58 LB
LB
Steve Zayachkowsky
22 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#80 LB
DL
Josiah Wyatt
17 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#212 DL
DL
CJ Landrum
13 tkl · 0.5 TFL
#521 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
UT Martin offense vs Charleston Southern defense-9.7 pts
Charleston Southern offense vs UT Martin defense-13.2 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-2.0 pts
Power projection before adjustment-0.8
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 551 mi
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.