BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

← Matchups

Georgia

SEC · 2-0 · power +23.4 · #21
Our numberUGA -3.6 no book has priced this game

Ole Miss

SEC · 2-0 · power +24.9 · #18
Our side
MoneylineMISS to win ours 58%
Projected score 31–27 UGA – MISS
2026-11-07 · kickoff TBD Vaught-Hemingway Stadium · Oxford, MS SEC game Early season

The books 1 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book UGA spreadMISS spread OverUnder UGA winMISS win UGA TT overUGA TT under MISS TT overMISS TT under
DraftKings — — — —

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Series Georgia lead 34–15–1 · 50 meetings since 1940
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Georgia Bulldogs 136 ranks
Georgia Bulldogs #62 rush offense Ole Miss Rebels #198 run defense
Pass game even 19 ranks apart
Georgia Bulldogs #77 pass offense Ole Miss Rebels #58 pass defense
Run game even 33 ranks apart
Ole Miss Rebels #53 rush offense Georgia Bulldogs #20 run defense
Pass game even 30 ranks apart
Ole Miss Rebels #23 pass offense Georgia Bulldogs #53 pass defense
Georgia Bulldogs Run-heavy · 59% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg Ole Miss Rebels Balanced · 52% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 39 rush ypg
Kirby Smart · 117-21 Pete Golding · 2-1

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Georgia Bulldogs
RB Nate Frazier 127 rush yds · 4 TD · 1 rec #54 RB
QB Gunner Stockton 436 pass yds · 8 TD · 0 INT #39 QB
P Drew Miller 5 punts · 49.8 yd avg #22 P
WR Talyn Taylor 5 rec · 59 yds · 2 TD #298 WR
Ole Miss Rebels
WR Deuce Alexander 13 rec · 235 yds · 2 TD #24 WR
QB Trinidad Chambliss 561 pass yds · 5 TD · 1 INT #13 QB
DB Jaylon Braxton 11 tkl · 3 PD #111 DB
RB Kewan Lacy 148 rush yds · 3 TD · 5 rec #50 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Georgia BulldogsSEC +23.4 +16.5 +6.9 #21
Ole Miss RebelsSEC +24.9 +16.2 +8.7 #18

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Georgia offense vs Ole Miss defense+7.8 pts
Ole Miss offense vs Georgia defense+9.3 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.