Our side
MoneylineGRAM to win
ours 83%
Projected score
25–40
UAPB – GRAM
2026-11-07 · 3:00 PM
Eddie G. Robinson Memorial Stadium · Grambling, LA
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Grambling lead
14–5
· 19 meetings since 2007
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Grambling Tigers
103 ranks
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions #195 rush offense
Grambling Tigers #92 run defense
Pass game
edge Grambling Tigers
218 ranks
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions #258 pass offense
Grambling Tigers #40 pass defense
Run game
edge Grambling Tigers
64 ranks
Grambling Tigers #176 rush offense
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions #240 run defense
Pass game
edge Grambling Tigers
63 ranks
Grambling Tigers #163 pass offense
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions #226 pass defense
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
Balanced · 54% run
Ball-control
Grambling Tigers
Run-heavy · 60% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
DB
Michael Henderson
21 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
#7 DB
DL
Derick Simon Jr.
19 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#75 DL
DL
Keiyhaun Wilks
13 tkl · 3.0 TFL
#188 DL
LB
Danarius Hilliard
26 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#142 LB
Grambling Tigers
DB
Jalen Guillard
14 tkl · 4 PD
#185 DB
RB
Byron Eaton Jr.
79 rush yds · 1 TD · 5 rec
#120 RB
WR
Jordan Bride
14 rec · 221 yds
#181 WR
WR
Tyson George
15 rec · 160 yds · 1 TD
#194 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Arkansas-Pine Bluff offense vs Grambling defense+3.4 pts
Grambling offense vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff defense+14.5 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+1.3 pts
Power projection before adjustment+14.4
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).