Our side
MoneylineOU to win
ours 45%
Projected score
26–24
OU – FLA
2026-11-07 · kickoff TBD
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium · Gainesville, FL
SEC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Florida and Oklahoma split 2 (1–1)
· 2 meetings since 2008
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Florida Gators
134 ranks
Oklahoma Sooners #212 rush offense
Florida Gators #78 run defense
Pass game
even
16 ranks apart
Oklahoma Sooners #152 pass offense
Florida Gators #168 pass defense
Run game
edge Oklahoma Sooners
71 ranks
Florida Gators #80 rush offense
Oklahoma Sooners #9 run defense
Pass game
edge Oklahoma Sooners
174 ranks
Florida Gators #184 pass offense
Oklahoma Sooners #10 pass defense
Oklahoma Sooners
Balanced · 51% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 38 rush ypg
Florida Gators
Balanced · 51% run
Ball-control
Brent Venables · 32-20 · defense-minded
Billy Napier · 62-35
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Oklahoma Sooners
TE
Rocky Beers
8 rec · 137 yds · 1 TD
#13 TE
DB
Reggie Powers III
11 tkl · 1 PD
#103 DB
QB
John Mateer
414 pass yds · 4 TD · 1 INT
#26 QB
DL
Taylor Wein
11 tkl · 3.0 TFL
#142 DL
Florida Gators
DL
Jeramiah McCloud
12 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 0.5 TFL
#27 DL
RB
Jadan Baugh
296 rush yds · 5 TD
#12 RB
WR
Vernell Brown III
9 rec · 160 yds · 2 TD
#112 WR
DL
LJ McCray
4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#207 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Oklahoma offense vs Florida defense-4.3 pts
Florida offense vs Oklahoma defense-8.3 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 959 mi
Altitude · context only313 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.