Columbia
· power -15.4 · #349
Our numberHARV -24.6
no book has priced this game
Harvard
· power +5.6 · #115
Our side
MoneylineHARV to win
ours 94%
Projected score
14–39
COLU – HARV
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Harvard lead
48–13–1
· 62 meetings since 1877
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Harvard Crimson
123 ranks
Columbia Lions #193 rush offense
Harvard Crimson #70 run defense
Pass game
edge Harvard Crimson
148 ranks
Columbia Lions #216 pass offense
Harvard Crimson #68 pass defense
Run game
edge Harvard Crimson
150 ranks
Harvard Crimson #31 rush offense
Columbia Lions #181 run defense
Pass game
edge Harvard Crimson
205 ranks
Harvard Crimson #18 pass offense
Columbia Lions #223 pass defense
Columbia Lions
Balanced · 54% run
Ball-control
Harvard Crimson
Balanced · 45% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Power breakdown
| Team | Power | Off | Def | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia Lions |
-15.4 | -13.8 | -1.6 | #349 |
| Harvard Crimson |
+5.6 | +6.5 | -0.8 | #115 |
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Columbia offense vs Harvard defense-13.0 pts
Harvard offense vs Columbia defense+8.0 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.