Brown
· power -10.4 · #302
Our numberYALE -18.5
no book has priced this game
Yale
· power +4.7 · #126
Our side
MoneylineYALE to win
ours 87%
Projected score
20–38
BRWN – YALE
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Yale lead
79–25–4
· 108 meetings since 1880
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Yale Bulldogs
152 ranks
Brown Bears #196 rush offense
Yale Bulldogs #44 run defense
Pass game
even
43 ranks apart
Brown Bears #147 pass offense
Yale Bulldogs #104 pass defense
Run game
edge Yale Bulldogs
69 ranks
Yale Bulldogs #134 rush offense
Brown Bears #203 run defense
Pass game
edge Yale Bulldogs
46 ranks
Yale Bulldogs #64 pass offense
Brown Bears #110 pass defense
Brown Bears
Balanced · 45% run
Avg pace
Yale Bulldogs
Run-heavy · 63% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Power breakdown
| Team | Power | Off | Def | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brown Bears |
-10.4 | -3.2 | -7.3 | #302 |
| Yale Bulldogs |
+4.7 | +1.8 | +2.9 | #126 |
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Brown offense vs Yale defense-6.1 pts
Yale offense vs Brown defense+9.0 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.