BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

On the board
0 priced of 111
Median gap
—
Straight up
104–32
Model state
—
Wk 0 Wk 1 Wk 2 Wk 3 Wk 4 Wk 5 Wk 6 Wk 7 Wk 8 Wk 9 Wk 10 Wk 11 Wk 12 Wk 13 Wk 14 Wk 15
● Top projected winners 76% · 104-32 this season

The model's most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Graded straight-up on the public record once games are played.

Top projected winners ranked by our win probability · graded straight up, never against a price

No game on this slate has a win probability to rank yet.

Top spread reads ranked by the book’s de-vigged lean toward our side — the only calibrated cover probability here; “we differ by” is distance, not confidence

No game on this slate has a book spread to compare against yet.

Top total reads ranked by the book’s de-vigged lean toward our side; the points are our distance from the line

No game on this slate has a book total to compare against yet.

Top team totals our projected score against the book’s team total · 0 games priced this week

No book has posted a team total on this slate yet.

All games 111 Sheet Panels All games
KickoffMatchupDivOur side Our projectionMarket Best number (tap to add)
2026-10-207:00 PM Middle Tennessee @ Florida International Miami, FL FBS FIU to winFIU 72% 20–32 · 51.8 — no line
2026-10-207:00 PM Missouri State @ Delaware Newark, DE FBS DEL to winDEL 57% 23–31 · 53.9 — no line
2026-10-207:30 PM South Alabama @ Marshall Huntington, WV FBS USA to winUSA 51% 27–27 · 54.0 — no line
2026-10-218:00 PM New Mexico State @ Sam Houston Huntsville, TX FBS NMSU to winSHSU 57% 25–26 · 51.0 — no line
2026-10-227:00 PM James Madison @ App State Boone, NC FBS JMU to winJMU 61% 27–25 · 52.1 — no line
2026-10-227:00 PM Liberty @ Kennesaw State Kennesaw, GA FBS LIB to winKENN 51% 24–25 · 49.9 — no line
2026-10-227:30 PM East Carolina @ Memphis Memphis, TN FBS MEM to winMEM 66% 24–30 · 54.5 — no line
2026-10-235:00 PM North Carolina Central @ Delaware State Dover, DE FCS DSU to winDSU 67% 24–31 · 54.7 — no line
2026-10-237:00 PM ● Duke @ Virginia Charlottesville, VA FBS UVA to winUVA 56% 24–28 · 51.4 — no line
2026-10-237:00 PM Massachusetts @ UConn East Hartford, CT FBS CONN to winCONN 68% 24–30 · 54.1 — no line
2026-10-237:00 PM Yale @ Pennsylvania Philadelphia, PA FCS YALE to winYALE 71% 33–24 · 57.5 — no line
2026-10-238:30 PM Army @ Tulsa Tulsa, OK FBS ARMY to winARMY 65% 25–22 · 46.2 — no line
2026-10-239:00 PM Air Force @ Wyoming Laramie, WY FBS AF to winAF 70% 26–22 · 48.3 — no line
2026-10-2310:30 PM ● NC State @ Stanford Stanford, CA FBS NCSU to winNCSU 69% 30–22 · 52.4 — no line
2026-10-24TBD ● Texas A&M @ Alabama Tuscaloosa, AL FBS ALA to winALA 60% 24–30 · 54.5 —
2026-10-24TBD ● Vanderbilt @ Kentucky Lexington, KY FBS VAN to winVAN 63% 29–24 · 53.2 — no line
2026-10-24TBD ● Oklahoma @ Mississippi State Starkville, MS FBS OU to winOU 54% 27–26 · 52.7 — no line
2026-10-24TBD ● Tennessee @ South Carolina Columbia, SC FBS TENN to winTENN 67% 28–27 · 55.1 — no line
2026-10-24TBD ● Ole Miss @ Texas Austin, TX FBS TEX to winTEX 67% 23–33 · 56.0 —
2026-10-24TBD ● Baylor @ Kansas Lawrence, KS FBS BAY to winBAY 64% 31–23 · 54.1 — no line
2026-10-24TBD ● BYU @ UCF Orlando, FL FBS BYU to winBYU 72% 28–17 · 45.4 — no line
2026-10-24TBD ● Colorado @ Oklahoma State Stillwater, OK FBS COLO to winCOLO 63% 27–24 · 50.8 — no line
2026-10-24TBD ● Houston @ Utah Salt Lake City, UT FBS UTAH to winUTAH 86% 19–34 · 52.6 —
2026-10-24TBD ● Iowa State @ Arizona Tucson, AZ FBS ARIZ to winARIZ 57% 21–28 · 48.5 — no line
2026-10-24TBD ● Kansas State @ Arizona State Tempe, AZ FBS KSU to winKSU 71% 31–22 · 52.5 — no line
2026-10-24TBD ● Texas Tech @ Cincinnati Cincinnati, OH FBS TTU to winTTU 70% 33–21 · 54.0 — no line
2026-10-24TBD ● West Virginia @ TCU Fort Worth, TX FBS TCU to winTCU 72% 22–30 · 51.5 — no line
2026-10-24TBD ● California @ SMU Dallas, TX FBS SMU to winSMU 91% 15–39 · 54.3 — no line
2026-10-24TBD ● Boston College @ Georgia Tech Atlanta, GA FBS GT to winGT 73% 21–29 · 50.2 — no line
2026-10-24TBD ● Pittsburgh @ Miami Miami Gardens, FL FBS MIA to winMIA 74% 19–33 · 52.0 — no line
2026-10-24TBD ● Syracuse @ North Carolina Chapel Hill, NC FBS UNC to winUNC 72% 18–28 · 46.5 — no line
2026-10-24TBD ● Virginia Tech @ Clemson Clemson, SC FBS CLEM to winVT 64% 26–25 · 51.6 — no line
2026-10-24TBD ● Oregon @ Illinois Champaign, IL FBS ORE to winORE 64% 30–24 · 54.1 — no line
2026-10-24TBD ● Indiana @ Michigan Ann Arbor, MI FBS IU to winIU 73% 29–18 · 47.8 —
2026-10-24TBD ● Iowa @ Minnesota Minneapolis, MN FBS IOWA to winIOWA 84% 31–15 · 45.8 — no line
2026-10-24TBD ● Rutgers @ Northwestern Evanston, IL FBS NU to winNU 85% 15–35 · 49.9 — no line
2026-10-24TBD ● Michigan State @ UCLA Pasadena, CA FBS UCLA to winUCLA 65% 18–31 · 49.4 — no line
2026-10-24TBD ● USC @ Wisconsin Madison, WI FBS USC to winUSC 77% 32–18 · 50.0 — no line
2026-10-24TBD Rice @ Florida Atlantic Boca Raton, FL FBS FAU to winFAU 52% 26–31 · 56.2 — no line
2026-10-24TBD UTSA @ Tulane New Orleans, LA FBS UTSA to winUTSA 60% 27–24 · 51.9 — no line
2026-10-24TBD Hawai'i @ Northern Illinois Dekalb, IL FBS HAW to winNIU 51% 23–25 · 48.0 — no line
2026-10-24TBD Akron @ Kent State Kent, OH FBS AKR to winAKR 54% 31–24 · 54.3 — no line
2026-10-24TBD Sacramento State @ Ball State Muncie, IN FCS FBS BALL to winBALL 87% 19–38 · 56.9 — no line
2026-10-24TBD Bowling Green @ Buffalo Buffalo, NY FBS BUF to winBGSU 51% 28–25 · 52.9 — no line
2026-10-24TBD Eastern Michigan @ Ohio Athens, OH FBS OHIO to winOHIO 76% 22–30 · 51.5 — no line
2026-10-24TBD Western Michigan @ Toledo Toledo, OH FBS WMU to winTOL 51% 23–24 · 47.4 — no line
2026-10-24TBD Miami (OH) @ Central Michigan Mount Pleasant, MI FBS M-OH to winM-OH 64% 29–20 · 48.8 — no line
2026-10-24TBD Stonehill @ Long Island University Brookville, NY FCS LIU to winLIU 62% 21–26 · 46.4 — no line
2026-10-24TBD Louisiana @ Southern Miss Hattiesburg, MS FBS UL to winUL 62% 30–26 · 55.7 — no line
2026-10-24TBD Old Dominion @ Louisiana Tech Ruston, LA FBS ODU to winODU 58% 29–26 · 54.2 — no line
2026-10-24TBD UL Monroe @ Troy Troy, AL FBS TROY to winTROY 70% 22–29 · 51.3 — no line
2026-10-2412:00 PM ● LSU @ Auburn Auburn, AL FBS LSU to winLSU 59% 27–20 · 47.8 — no line
2026-10-2412:00 PM UAlbany @ Rhode Island Pawtucket, RI FCS URI to winURI 77% 19–31 · 50.3 — no line
2026-10-2412:00 PM New Hampshire @ Merrimack North Andover, MA FCS UNH to winUNH 52% 27–27 · 54.0 — no line
2026-10-2412:00 PM Cornell @ Brown Providence, RI FCS BRWN to winBRWN 65% 25–31 · 55.7 — no line
2026-10-2412:00 PM New Haven @ Central Connecticut New Britain, CT FCS CCSU to winCCSU 82% 24–38 · 61.5 — no line
2026-10-2412:00 PM Wagner @ Duquesne Pittsburgh, PA FCS DUQ to winDUQ 68% 23–31 · 54.3 — no line
2026-10-2412:00 PM San Diego @ Dayton Dayton, OH FCS DAY to winDAY 83% 20–36 · 55.8 — no line
2026-10-2412:00 PM St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Marist Poughkeepsie, NY FCS STMN to winSTMN 71% 30–21 · 50.3 — no line
2026-10-241:00 PM Campbell @ Maine Orono, ME FCS CAM to winCAM 70% 32–23 · 54.4 — no line
2026-10-241:00 PM Bucknell @ Holy Cross Worcester, MA FCS BUCK to winBUCK 52% 25–24 · 48.7 — no line
2026-10-241:00 PM Lafayette @ Fordham Bronx, NY FCS LAF to winLAF 57% 28–25 · 52.6 — no line
2026-10-241:00 PM Butler @ Drake Des Moines, IA FCS BUT to winBUT 66% 32–26 · 57.9 — no line
2026-10-241:00 PM Presbyterian @ Valparaiso Valparaiso, IN FCS PRES to winPRES 69% 34–26 · 60.8 — no line
2026-10-241:00 PM Jackson State @ Bethune-Cookman Daytona Beach, FL FCS JKST to winJKST 52% 34–33 · 66.1 — no line
2026-10-241:30 PM Dartmouth @ Columbia New York, NY FCS DART to winDART 71% 29–19 · 48.0 — no line
2026-10-241:30 PM Norfolk State @ South Carolina State Orangeburg, SC FCS SCST to winSCST 84% 23–39 · 62.3 — no line
2026-10-241:30 PM East Tennessee State @ VMI Lexington, VA FCS ETSU to winETSU 88% 38–19 · 57.3 — no line
2026-10-242:00 PM Stony Brook @ Bryant Smithfield, RI FCS BRY to winBRY 64% 26–32 · 58.6 — no line
2026-10-242:00 PM Monmouth @ Hampton Hampton, VA FCS MONM to winMONM 86% 39–21 · 59.6 — no line
2026-10-242:00 PM North Dakota @ South Dakota Vermillion, SD FCS UND to winUND 57% 34–31 · 64.1 — no line
2026-10-242:00 PM Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois Carbondale, IL FCS SIU to winSIU 72% 24–34 · 57.6 — no line
2026-10-242:00 PM Mercyhurst @ Robert Morris Moon Township, PA FCS RMU to winRMU 77% 19–31 · 50.2 — no line
2026-10-242:00 PM Colgate @ Richmond Richmond, VA FCS COLG to winCOLG 51% 27–27 · 54.3 — no line
2026-10-242:00 PM Tarleton State @ West Georgia Carrollton, GA FCS TAR to winTAR 94% 40–15 · 55.5 — no line
2026-10-242:00 PM Stetson @ Morehead State Morehead, KY FCS MORE to winMORE 71% 27–36 · 63.6 — no line
2026-10-242:00 PM Samford @ Furman Greenville, SC FCS FUR to winFUR 90% 13–34 · 47.7 — no line
2026-10-242:00 PM Tennessee Tech @ The Citadel Charleston, SC FCS TNTC to winTNTC 89% 39–19 · 58.4 — no line
2026-10-242:30 PM Chattanooga @ Western Carolina Cullowhee, NC FCS WCU to winWCU 66% 26–33 · 59.2 — no line
2026-10-243:00 PM Chicago State @ Lindenwood Saint Charles, MO NON-D1 FCS LIN to winLIN 51% 30–30 · 59.3 — no line
2026-10-243:00 PM Princeton @ Harvard Cambridge, MA FCS HARV to winHARV 88% 18–37 · 55.0 — no line
2026-10-243:00 PM Indiana State @ Illinois State Normal, IL FCS ILST to winILST 94% 17–43 · 59.5 — no line
2026-10-243:00 PM Murray State @ South Dakota State Brookings, SD FCS SDST to winSDST 98% 12–44 · 56.7 — no line
2026-10-243:00 PM Howard @ Morgan State Baltimore, MD FCS MORG to winMORG 51% 25–25 · 50.2 — no line
2026-10-243:00 PM Weber State @ Montana State Bozeman, MT FCS MTST to winMTST 98% 15–49 · 63.8 — no line
2026-10-243:00 PM West Florida @ Eastern Kentucky Richmond, KY NON-D1 FCS WEST to winWEST 81% 34–20 · 53.3 — no line
2026-10-243:00 PM Southeast Missouri State @ Eastern Illinois Charleston, IL FCS SEMO to winSEMO 61% 30–25 · 55.4 — no line
2026-10-243:00 PM Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Florida A&M Tallahassee, FL FCS FAMU to winFAMU 65% 28–34 · 62.3 — no line
2026-10-243:00 PM Southern @ Texas Southern Houston, TX FCS TXSO to winTXSO 58% 28–31 · 59.3 — no line
2026-10-243:00 PM Nicholls @ Northwestern State Natchitoches, LA FCS NICH to winNICH 91% 41–19 · 59.7 — no line
2026-10-243:30 PM North Texas @ Navy Annapolis, MD FBS UNT to winUNT 73% 31–27 · 57.8 — no line
2026-10-243:30 PM Georgetown @ William & Mary Williamsburg, VA FCS W&M to winW&M 88% 19–38 · 56.9 — no line
2026-10-243:30 PM Lehigh @ Villanova Philadelphia, PA FCS LEH to winLEH 80% 34–20 · 54.2 — no line
2026-10-243:30 PM Charleston Southern @ Tennessee State Nashville, TN FCS CHSO to winCHSO 65% 23–17 · 40.2 — no line
2026-10-244:00 PM UT Martin @ Western Illinois Macomb, IL FCS WIU to winWIU 51% 28–29 · 57.3 — no line
2026-10-244:00 PM Houston Christian @ Lamar Beaumont, TX FCS LAM to winLAM 85% 16–33 · 49.0 — no line
2026-10-245:00 PM San José State @ Nevada Reno, NV FBS NEV to winNEV 60% 21–31 · 52.6 — no line
2026-10-245:00 PM Utah Tech @ Cal Poly San Luis Obispo, CA FCS CP to winCP 75% 22–33 · 55.2 — no line
2026-10-245:00 PM Southern Utah @ Idaho Moscow, ID FCS IDHO to winIDHO 53% 32–33 · 64.1 — no line
2026-10-245:00 PM UT Rio Grande Valley @ Central Arkansas Conway, AR FCS UT R to winUT R 61% 33–28 · 61.3 — no line
2026-10-245:00 PM McNeese @ Incarnate Word San Antonio, TX FCS UIW to winUIW 65% 26–32 · 58.0 — no line
2026-10-246:00 PM Boise State @ Washington State Pullman, WA FBS BOIS to winBOIS 67% 28–22 · 49.7 — no line
2026-10-246:00 PM Portland State @ Idaho State Pocatello, ID FCS IDST to winIDST 93% 19–43 · 62.1 — no line
2026-10-246:00 PM SE Louisiana @ Stephen F. Austin Nacogdoches, TX FCS SFA to winSFA 95% 14–41 · 55.0 — no line
2026-10-246:30 PM San Diego State @ Colorado State Fort Collins, CO FBS SDSU to winSDSU 57% 26–23 · 48.5 — no line
2026-10-247:00 PM Austin Peay @ North Alabama Florence, AL FCS APSU to winAPSU 78% 34–22 · 55.8 — no line
2026-10-247:00 PM Northern Colorado @ UC Davis Davis, CA FCS UCD to winUCD 89% 18–38 · 55.3 — no line
2026-10-247:00 PM Prairie View A&M @ East Texas A&M Commerce, TX FCS PV to winPV 52% 29–28 · 56.2 — no line
2026-10-247:00 PM Georgia State @ Arkansas State Jonesboro, AR FBS ARST to winARST 60% 25–29 · 53.4 — no line
2026-10-247:30 PM Utah State @ Texas State San Marcos, TX FBS TXST to winTXST 61% 27–31 · 58.1 — no line
2026-10-2410:00 PM North Dakota State @ New Mexico Albuquerque, NM FCS FBS UNM to winUNM 69% 26–33 · 58.9 — no line

Every row links to its full breakdown.