Our side
MoneylineRMU to win
ours 77%
Projected score
19–31
MERC – RMU
2026-10-24 · 2:00 PM
Joe Walton Stadium · Moon Township, PA
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Mercyhurst and Robert Morris split 2 (1–1)
· 2 meetings since 2024
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Robert Morris Colonials
59 ranks
Mercyhurst Lakers #220 rush offense
Robert Morris Colonials #161 run defense
Pass game
edge Robert Morris Colonials
96 ranks
Mercyhurst Lakers #190 pass offense
Robert Morris Colonials #94 pass defense
Run game
edge Mercyhurst Lakers
48 ranks
Robert Morris Colonials #260 rush offense
Mercyhurst Lakers #212 run defense
Pass game
edge Mercyhurst Lakers
77 ranks
Robert Morris Colonials #220 pass offense
Mercyhurst Lakers #143 pass defense
Mercyhurst Lakers
Balanced · 47% run
Ball-control
Robert Morris Colonials
Run-heavy · 60% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Mercyhurst Lakers
DL
Zacchaeus Dixon
15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#135 DL
DB
Braylon Beckwith
21 tkl
#182 DB
TE
Camden Lewis
10 rec · 83 yds · 1 TD
#44 TE
P
Thomas O'Neill
19 punts · 43.3 yd avg
#24 P
Robert Morris Colonials
WR
Galen Combs
15 rec · 307 yds · 5 TD
#10 WR
DL
Asher Wilson
14 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL
#30 DL
LB
Amanuel Dickson
23 tkl · 3.5 TFL
#40 LB
DL
David Johnson
5 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#362 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Mercyhurst offense vs Robert Morris defense-9.4 pts
Robert Morris offense vs Mercyhurst defense-2.0 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+1.4 pts
Power projection before adjustment+10.5
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).