← Matchups

Southeast Missouri State

· 1-2 · power -7.0 · #263
Our numberSEMO -4.7 no book has priced this game

Eastern Illinois

· 1-2 · power -14.5 · #341
Our side
MoneylineSEMO to win ours 39%
Projected score 30–25 SEMO – EIU
2026-10-24 · 3:00 PM O'Brien Field · Charleston, IL Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Southeast Missouri State lead 12–10 · 22 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Eastern Illinois Panthers 221 ranks
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks #243 rush offense Eastern Illinois Panthers #22 run defense
Pass game edge Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 129 ranks
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks #125 pass offense Eastern Illinois Panthers #254 pass defense
Run game edge Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 129 ranks
Eastern Illinois Panthers #233 rush offense Southeast Missouri State Redhawks #104 run defense
Pass game edge Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 85 ranks
Eastern Illinois Panthers #247 pass offense Southeast Missouri State Redhawks #162 pass defense
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Balanced · 45% run Avg pace Eastern Illinois Panthers Run-heavy · 58% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
DB DJ Delmore 22 tkl · 2 PD #20 DB
DL Timothy Maxson 12 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL #72 DL
P Teagan Cobb 15 punts · 45.4 yd avg #12 P
WR John Anthony Jr. 10 rec · 219 yds · 2 TD #98 WR
Eastern Illinois Panthers
RB Charles Kellom 297 rush yds · 4 TD · 9 rec #14 RB
LB Ja'Wuan Nickson 21 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL #36 LB
DL Isaac Engle 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #253 DL
DL Aidan Archibald 4 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #340 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks -7.0 -5.5 -1.5 #263
Eastern Illinois Panthers -14.5 -5.9 -8.6 #341

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Southeast Missouri State offense vs Eastern Illinois defense+3.2 pts
Eastern Illinois offense vs Southeast Missouri State defense-4.4 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+0.2 pts
Power projection before adjustment-4.9

The projection carries an efficiency adjustment — a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).