← Matchups

Texas A&M

SEC · 2-0 · power +31.6 · #5
Our numberALA -5.9 no book has priced this game

Alabama

SEC · 2-0 (1-0 SEC) · power +33.7 · #4
Our side
MoneylineALA to win ours 60%
Projected score 24–30 TA&M – ALA
2026-10-24 · kickoff TBD Bryant-Denny Stadium · Tuscaloosa, AL SEC game Early season

The books 1 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book TA&M spreadALA spread OverUnder TA&M winALA win TA&M TT overTA&M TT under ALA TT overALA TT under
DraftKings

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Series Alabama lead 13–3 · 16 meetings since 1941
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 30 ranks apart
Texas A&M Aggies #67 rush offense Alabama Crimson Tide #97 run defense
Pass game even 26 ranks apart
Texas A&M Aggies #55 pass offense Alabama Crimson Tide #29 pass defense
Run game even 36 ranks apart
Alabama Crimson Tide #213 rush offense Texas A&M Aggies #177 run defense
Pass game even 35 ranks apart
Alabama Crimson Tide #49 pass offense Texas A&M Aggies #14 pass defense
Texas A&M Aggies Balanced · 55% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 39 rush ypg Alabama Crimson Tide Balanced · 48% run Ball-control
Mike Elko · 35-16 Kalen DeBoer · 57-17

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Texas A&M Aggies
DL Marco Jones 5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #10 DL
DB Julio Humphrey 2 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #84 DB
WR Isaiah Horton 7 rec · 109 yds · 3 TD #82 WR
DL T.J. Searcy 8 tkl · 1.5 TFL #166 DL
Alabama Crimson Tide
K Conor Talty 5 FG · 10 XP · 25 pts #2 K
LB Yhonzae Pierre 4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #30 LB
LB Luke Metz 10 tkl #35 LB
RB Daniel Hill 151 rush yds · 3 TD · 4 rec #29 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Texas A&M AggiesSEC +31.6 +16.2 +15.4 #5
Alabama Crimson TideSEC +33.7 +18.9 +14.9 #4

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Texas A&M offense vs Alabama defense+1.3 pts
Alabama offense vs Texas A&M defense+3.4 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 546 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.