BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

← Matchups

Indiana

B1G · 2-0 · power +33.9 · #3
Our numberIU -10.9 no book has priced this game

Michigan

B1G · 2-0 · power +22.1 · #24
Our side
MoneylineIU to win ours 27%
Projected score 29–18 IU – MICH
2026-10-24 · kickoff TBD Michigan Stadium · Ann Arbor, MI B1G game Early season

The books 1 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book IU spreadMICH spread OverUnder IU winMICH win IU TT overIU TT under MICH TT overMICH TT under
DraftKings — — — —

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Series Michigan lead 62–11 · 73 meetings since 1900
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Indiana Hoosiers 45 ranks
Indiana Hoosiers #45 rush offense Michigan Wolverines #90 run defense
Pass game edge Indiana Hoosiers 89 ranks
Indiana Hoosiers #8 pass offense Michigan Wolverines #97 pass defense
Run game even 31 ranks apart
Michigan Wolverines #33 rush offense Indiana Hoosiers #2 run defense
Pass game edge Indiana Hoosiers 115 ranks
Michigan Wolverines #181 pass offense Indiana Hoosiers #66 pass defense
Indiana Hoosiers Run-heavy · 58% run Ball-control Michigan Wolverines Balanced · 58% run Ball-control
Curt Cignetti · 46-6 Sherrone Moore · 17-8

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Indiana Hoosiers
LB Rolijah Hardy 12 tkl · 1.0 TFL #15 LB
WR Charlie Becker 7 rec · 145 yds · 5 TD #21 WR
RB Turbo Richard 166 rush yds · 3 TD · 2 rec #34 RB
DL Tobi Osunsanmi 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL #181 DL
Michigan Wolverines
DL Dom Nichols 10 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #17 DL
DL John Henry Daley 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #45 DL
LB Troy Bowles 21 tkl · 2.0 TFL #74 LB
WR JJ Buchanan 8 rec · 174 yds · 1 TD #81 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Indiana HoosiersB1G +33.9 +18.5 +15.4 #3
Michigan WolverinesB1G +22.1 +5.7 +16.4 #24

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Indiana offense vs Michigan defense+2.1 pts
Michigan offense vs Indiana defense-9.7 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.