← Matchups

Presbyterian

· 1-1 · power -7.8 · #271
Our numberPRES -8.0 no book has priced this game

Valparaiso

· 1-1 · power -18.3 · #367
Our side
MoneylinePRES to win ours 31%
Projected score 34–26 PRES – VAL
2026-10-24 · 1:00 PM Brown Field · Valparaiso, IN Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Valparaiso lead 2–1 · 3 meetings since 2021
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Presbyterian Blue Hose 100 ranks
Presbyterian Blue Hose #87 rush offense Valparaiso Beacons #187 run defense
Pass game edge Presbyterian Blue Hose 225 ranks
Presbyterian Blue Hose #4 pass offense Valparaiso Beacons #229 pass defense
Run game edge Presbyterian Blue Hose 211 ranks
Valparaiso Beacons #252 rush offense Presbyterian Blue Hose #41 run defense
Pass game edge Presbyterian Blue Hose 182 ranks
Valparaiso Beacons #197 pass offense Presbyterian Blue Hose #15 pass defense
Presbyterian Blue Hose Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Valparaiso Beacons Run-heavy · 58% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Presbyterian Blue Hose
DL Langston Cook 7 tkl · 1.0 TFL #321 DL
WR Caleb Johnson 9 rec · 133 yds · 1 TD #223 WR
QB Landon Sharpe 551 pass yds · 3 TD · 1 INT #101 QB
WR Brice Johnson 12 rec · 114 yds #296 WR
Valparaiso Beacons
LB Max Samuel 9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #125 LB
DB O.C. Nurse 9 tkl · 1 PD #696 DB
WR Chris Gundy 5 rec · 107 yds #454 WR
DL Gabriel Batres 4 tkl · 1.0 TFL #900 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Presbyterian Blue Hose -7.8 -0.8 -7.0 #271
Valparaiso Beacons -18.3 -7.7 -10.6 #367

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Presbyterian offense vs Valparaiso defense+9.8 pts
Valparaiso offense vs Presbyterian defense-0.7 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 560 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.