Our side
MoneylineIDST to win
ours 93%
Projected score
19–43
PRST – IDST
2026-10-24 · 6:00 PM
ICCU Dome · Pocatello, ID
Conference game
Indoors
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Portland State lead
10–8
· 18 meetings since 2004
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Idaho State Bengals
192 ranks
Portland State Vikings #258 rush offense
Idaho State Bengals #66 run defense
Pass game
even
14 ranks apart
Portland State Vikings #224 pass offense
Idaho State Bengals #210 pass defense
Run game
edge Idaho State Bengals
154 ranks
Idaho State Bengals #108 rush offense
Portland State Vikings #262 run defense
Pass game
edge Idaho State Bengals
178 ranks
Idaho State Bengals #72 pass offense
Portland State Vikings #250 pass defense
Portland State Vikings
Balanced · 56% run
Ball-control
Idaho State Bengals
Balanced · 43% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Portland State Vikings
DB
Lono Solomon
19 tkl · 2 PD
#23 DB
DB
Isaac Redford
17 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
#24 DB
TE
Tanner Beaman
16 rec · 157 yds · 1 TD
#7 TE
WR
Terence Loville
15 rec · 221 yds · 1 TD
#70 WR
Idaho State Bengals
K
Mason Lindberg
7 FG · 15 XP · 36 pts
#1 K
DL
Trehsyn Fesili
20 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#14 DL
DL
Collin Lewis
10 tkl · 0.5 TFL
#44 DL
LB
Nathan Reynolds
33 tkl · 3.0 TFL
#32 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Portland State offense vs Idaho State defense-3.9 pts
Idaho State offense vs Portland State defense+15.6 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+1.4 pts
Power projection before adjustment+23.1
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 551 mi
Altitude · context only1,326 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.