Our side
MoneylineSDSU to win
ours 43%
Projected score
26–23
SDSU – CSU
2026-10-24 · 6:30 PM
Canvas Stadium · Fort Collins, CO
MWC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
San Diego State lead
23–15
· 38 meetings since 1978
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge San Diego State Aztecs
112 ranks
San Diego State Aztecs #74 rush offense
Colorado State Rams #186 run defense
Pass game
edge San Diego State Aztecs
54 ranks
San Diego State Aztecs #211 pass offense
Colorado State Rams #265 pass defense
Run game
edge San Diego State Aztecs
79 ranks
Colorado State Rams #132 rush offense
San Diego State Aztecs #53 run defense
Pass game
edge San Diego State Aztecs
180 ranks
Colorado State Rams #183 pass offense
San Diego State Aztecs #3 pass defense
San Diego State Aztecs
Run-heavy · 66% run
Ball-control
Colorado State Rams
Balanced · 48% run
Ball-control
Sean Lewis · 36-44 · defense-minded
Tyson Summers · 5-18
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
San Diego State Aztecs
DB
Mike Lindsay
5 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
#155 DB
RB
Lucky Sutton
139 rush yds · 3 TD
#105 RB
DL
Gavriel Lightfoot
8 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#306 DL
DB
Jelani McLaughlin
13 tkl · 1 PD
#346 DB
Colorado State Rams
QB
Hauss Hejny
539 pass yds · 9 TD · 1 INT
#11 QB
WR
RJ Vick
9 rec · 108 yds · 3 TD
#65 WR
DB
Tre'Shawn Moore
16 tkl · 1 PD
#115 DB
RB
Mel Brown
228 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec
#58 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
San Diego State offense vs Colorado State defense+1.5 pts
Colorado State offense vs San Diego State defense-3.1 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 855 mi
Altitude · context only1,509 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.