Our side
MoneylineWIU to win
ours 51%
Projected score
28–29
UTM – WIU
2026-10-24 · 4:00 PM
Hanson Field · Macomb, IL
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
UT Martin lead
3–1
· 4 meetings since 2003
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
16 ranks apart
UT Martin Skyhawks #199 rush offense
Western Illinois Leathernecks #215 run defense
Pass game
edge UT Martin Skyhawks
94 ranks
UT Martin Skyhawks #108 pass offense
Western Illinois Leathernecks #202 pass defense
Run game
edge UT Martin Skyhawks
97 ranks
Western Illinois Leathernecks #182 rush offense
UT Martin Skyhawks #85 run defense
Pass game
even
8 ranks apart
Western Illinois Leathernecks #240 pass offense
UT Martin Skyhawks #248 pass defense
UT Martin Skyhawks
Run-heavy · 63% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 38 rush ypg
Western Illinois Leathernecks
Balanced · 46% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
UT Martin Skyhawks
P
Max Zuluaga
8 punts · 51.4 yd avg
#1 P
DB
Trey Cotton
23 tkl · 1 INT
#12 DB
DL
Chris Wilson
14 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#78 DL
DB
Jamal Mayers
12 tkl · 3 PD
#73 DB
Western Illinois Leathernecks
LB
Nick Reinicke
18 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#57 LB
DB
Aa'zoriyon Bonner
9 tkl · 1 PD
#170 DB
DB
Jouvenson Romulus
9 tkl · 1 INT
#376 DB
DB
Brayden Hapner
8 tkl · 2 PD
#458 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
UT Martin offense vs Western Illinois defense+2.1 pts
Western Illinois offense vs UT Martin defense+0.3 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.6 pts
Power projection before adjustment+1.0
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).