Our side
MoneylineBUCK to win
ours 48%
Projected score
25–24
BUCK – HC
2026-10-24 · 1:00 PM
Fitton Field · Worcester, MA
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Holy Cross lead
18–6
· 24 meetings since 1953
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
41 ranks apart
Bucknell Bison #168 rush offense
Holy Cross Crusaders #127 run defense
Pass game
even
41 ranks apart
Bucknell Bison #86 pass offense
Holy Cross Crusaders #45 pass defense
Run game
edge Bucknell Bison
81 ranks
Holy Cross Crusaders #231 rush offense
Bucknell Bison #150 run defense
Pass game
even
26 ranks apart
Holy Cross Crusaders #243 pass offense
Bucknell Bison #217 pass defense
Bucknell Bison
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
Holy Cross Crusaders
Run-heavy · 65% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Bucknell Bison
WR
Sam Milligan
24 rec · 241 yds · 3 TD
#17 WR
DL
Jack Inserra
15 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#194 DL
RB
Michael Cadden
131 rush yds · 1 TD · 12 rec
#86 RB
LB
Nick Hoying
13 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#298 LB
Holy Cross Crusaders
LB
Adam Due
27 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#100 LB
DB
Garrett Baldwin
12 tkl · 3 PD
#180 DB
TE
Drae Tyme
4 rec · 81 yds · 1 TD
#48 TE
WR
Myles Abernathy
10 rec · 138 yds
#238 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Bucknell offense vs Holy Cross defense-6.5 pts
Holy Cross offense vs Bucknell defense-7.6 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-2.2 pts
Power projection before adjustment+1.6
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).