Our side
MoneylineURI to win
ours 77%
Projected score
19–31
UALB – URI
2026-10-24 · 12:00 PM
Centreville Bank Stadium · Pawtucket, RI
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Rhode Island lead
8–5
· 13 meetings since 2013
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Rhode Island Rams
73 ranks
UAlbany Great Danes #208 rush offense
Rhode Island Rams #135 run defense
Pass game
edge Rhode Island Rams
179 ranks
UAlbany Great Danes #227 pass offense
Rhode Island Rams #48 pass defense
Run game
even
12 ranks apart
Rhode Island Rams #136 rush offense
UAlbany Great Danes #148 run defense
Pass game
edge Rhode Island Rams
144 ranks
Rhode Island Rams #19 pass offense
UAlbany Great Danes #163 pass defense
UAlbany Great Danes
Balanced · 52% run
Ball-control
Rhode Island Rams
Balanced · 53% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
UAlbany Great Danes
DL
Shawan Lewis
10 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL
#48 DL
DB
Victor Holt
19 tkl · 2 PD
#176 DB
RB
Joey Koch
216 rush yds · 1 TD · 5 rec
#95 RB
DL
Isaiah Boyd
11 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#304 DL
Rhode Island Rams
WR
Marquis Buchanan
20 rec · 234 yds · 3 TD
#19 WR
LB
Moses Meus
16 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#29 LB
DL
Case Mankins
6 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#107 DL
DB
Andre DePina-Gray
16 tkl · 2 INT
#206 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
UAlbany offense vs Rhode Island defense-11.0 pts
Rhode Island offense vs UAlbany defense-0.1 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-2.0 pts
Power projection before adjustment+14.1
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).