← Matchups

Rutgers

B1G · 0-2 · power +1.6 · #154
Our numberNU -20.6 no book has priced this game

Northwestern

B1G · 1-0 · power +17.0 · #48
Our side
MoneylineNU to win ours 85%
Projected score 15–35 RUTG – NU
2026-10-24 · kickoff TBD Ryan Field · Evanston, IL B1G game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Rutgers lead 4–2 · 6 meetings since 1919
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Rutgers Scarlet Knights 72 ranks
Rutgers Scarlet Knights #141 rush offense Northwestern Wildcats #213 run defense
Pass game even 28 ranks apart
Rutgers Scarlet Knights #80 pass offense Northwestern Wildcats #108 pass defense
Run game edge Northwestern Wildcats 178 ranks
Northwestern Wildcats #79 rush offense Rutgers Scarlet Knights #257 run defense
Pass game edge Northwestern Wildcats 66 ranks
Northwestern Wildcats #170 pass offense Rutgers Scarlet Knights #236 pass defense
Rutgers Scarlet Knights Balanced · 50% run Avg pace Northwestern Wildcats Balanced · 56% run Ball-control
Greg Schiano · 31-41 · offense-minded David Braun · 19-19

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
WR KJ Duff 17 rec · 333 yds · 5 TD #1 WR
LB Moses Walker 9 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #129 LB
RB Antwan Raymond 176 rush yds · 4 rec #112 RB
DB Jesse Ofurie 11 tkl · 1 PD #538 DB
Northwestern Wildcats
DB Braden Turner 7 tkl · 3 PD #97 DB
DB Robert Fitzgerald 14 tkl · 1 PD #113 DB
DB Damon Walters 9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #114 DB
DL Brendan Flakes 4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #225 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Rutgers Scarlet KnightsB1G +1.6 +3.2 -1.6 #154
Northwestern WildcatsB1G +17.0 +3.6 +13.3 #48

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Rutgers offense vs Northwestern defense-10.1 pts
Northwestern offense vs Rutgers defense+5.2 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 694 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.