Our side
MoneylineBOIS to win
ours 33%
Projected score
28–22
BOIS – WSU
2026-10-24 · 6:00 PM
Martin Stadium · Pullman, WA
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Washington State lead
5–2
· 7 meetings since 1997
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Boise State Broncos
72 ranks
Boise State Broncos #61 rush offense
Washington State Cougars #133 run defense
Pass game
edge Washington State Cougars
67 ranks
Boise State Broncos #105 pass offense
Washington State Cougars #38 pass defense
Run game
edge Washington State Cougars
49 ranks
Washington State Cougars #155 rush offense
Boise State Broncos #204 run defense
Pass game
edge Boise State Broncos
168 ranks
Washington State Cougars #186 pass offense
Boise State Broncos #18 pass defense
Boise State Broncos
Balanced · 58% run
Avg pace
Washington State Cougars
Balanced · 53% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg
Spencer Danielson · 24-8
Jimmy Rogers · 6-6 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Boise State Broncos
LB
Boen Phelps
16 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#34 LB
DB
Travis Anderson
16 tkl · 1 INT
#58 DB
RB
Sire Gaines
132 rush yds · 1 TD · 3 rec
#57 RB
RB
Dylan Riley
256 rush yds · 3 rec
#84 RB
Washington State Cougars
DB
Jaylen Thomas
7 tkl · 2 INT
#8 DB
DB
Jamarey Smith
8 tkl · 1 PD
#609 DB
DL
Malachi Wrice
4 tkl · 2.0 TFL
#704 DL
QB
Caden Pinnick
207 pass yds · 2 INT · 90 rush yds
#148 QB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Boise State offense vs Washington State defense-2.2 pts
Washington State offense vs Boise State defense-11.3 pts
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.