BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

On the board
0 priced of 118
Median gap
—
Straight up
104–32
Model state
—
Wk 0 Wk 1 Wk 2 Wk 3 Wk 4 Wk 5 Wk 6 Wk 7 Wk 8 Wk 9 Wk 10 Wk 11 Wk 12 Wk 13 Wk 14 Wk 15
● Top projected winners 76% · 104-32 this season

The model's most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Graded straight-up on the public record once games are played.

Top projected winners ranked by our win probability · graded straight up, never against a price
Indiana
-1.7 · 52%
over Ohio State
-102 FanDuel
Top spread reads ranked by the book’s de-vigged lean toward our side — the only calibrated cover probability here; “we differ by” is distance, not confidence

No game on this slate has a book spread to compare against yet.

Top total reads ranked by the book’s de-vigged lean toward our side; the points are our distance from the line

No game on this slate has a book total to compare against yet.

Top team totals our projected score against the book’s team total · 0 games priced this week

No book has posted a team total on this slate yet.

All games 118 Sheet Panels All games
KickoffMatchupDivOur side Our projectionMarket Best number (tap to add)
2026-10-137:00 PM Delaware @ Middle Tennessee Murfreesboro, TN FBS DEL to winDEL 68% 32–23 · 54.3 — no line
2026-10-138:00 PM Florida International @ Jacksonville State Jacksonville, AL FBS JXST to winJXST 54% 24–28 · 52.5 — no line
2026-10-147:30 PM Kennesaw State @ Missouri State Springfield, MO FBS MOST to winMOST 69% 21–31 · 51.8 — no line
2026-10-148:00 PM Western Kentucky @ Sam Houston Huntsville, TX FBS WKU to winWKU 58% 30–25 · 55.4 — no line
2026-10-157:30 PM East Carolina @ UAB Birmingham, AL FBS ECU to winECU 72% 32–23 · 55.1 — no line
2026-10-157:30 PM Georgia Southern @ Old Dominion Norfolk, VA FBS ODU to winODU 62% 22–31 · 53.1 — no line
2026-10-158:00 PM Colorado State @ Texas State San Marcos, TX FBS TXST to winTXST 63% 24–32 · 55.1 — no line
2026-10-167:00 PM Columbia @ Pennsylvania Philadelphia, PA FCS PENN to winPENN 77% 20–32 · 51.8 — no line
2026-10-167:30 PM Memphis @ Tulane New Orleans, LA FBS MEM to winTULN 51% 24–26 · 49.9 — no line
2026-10-168:00 PM ● Washington @ Purdue West Lafayette, IN FBS WASH to winWASH 72% 29–21 · 49.5 — no line
2026-10-168:00 PM App State @ Coastal Carolina Conway, SC FBS APP to winAPP 54% 29–26 · 55.5 — no line
2026-10-17TBD ● Auburn @ Georgia Athens, GA FBS UGA to winUGA 60% 21–30 · 50.7 —
2026-10-17TBD ● Mississippi State @ LSU Baton Rouge, LA FBS LSU to winLSU 70% 24–32 · 55.2 — no line
2026-10-17TBD ● Missouri @ Ole Miss Oxford, MS FBS MISS to winMISS 66% 25–30 · 54.8 — no line
2026-10-17TBD ● Kentucky @ Oklahoma Norman, OK FBS OU to winOU 76% 18–30 · 48.7 — no line
2026-10-17TBD ● Alabama @ Tennessee Knoxville, TN FBS ALA to winALA 62% 30–26 · 56.9 —
2026-10-17TBD ● Florida @ Texas Austin, TX FBS TEX to winTEX 77% 24–29 · 52.8 — no line
2026-10-17TBD ● Arkansas @ Vanderbilt Nashville, TN FBS VAN to winVAN 79% 21–34 · 55.4 — no line
2026-10-17TBD ● Notre Dame @ BYU Provo, UT FBS ND to winND 70% 28–23 · 50.8 —
2026-10-17TBD ● Arizona State @ Texas Tech Lubbock, TX FBS TTU to winTTU 82% 19–37 · 55.3 — no line
2026-10-17TBD ● Cincinnati @ West Virginia Morgantown, WV FBS CIN to winCIN 61% 26–26 · 51.7 — no line
2026-10-17TBD ● Kansas @ Kansas State Manhattan, KS FBS KSU to winKSU 86% 15–38 · 52.6 —
2026-10-17TBD ● Oklahoma State @ Houston Houston, TX FBS HOU to winHOU 70% 20–32 · 52.0 — no line
2026-10-17TBD ● TCU @ Baylor Waco, TX FBS BAY to winBAY 54% 24–28 · 52.3 — no line
2026-10-17TBD ● Utah @ Colorado Boulder, CO FBS UTAH to winUTAH 80% 33–19 · 51.6 — no line
2026-10-17TBD Charleston Southern @ Clemson Clemson, SC FCS FBS CLEM to winCLEM 99% 4–40 · 43.9 — no line
2026-10-17TBD ● Florida State @ Miami Miami Gardens, FL FBS MIA to winMIA 82% 16–33 · 48.6 — no line
2026-10-17TBD ● Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech Blacksburg, VA FBS VT to winVT 54% 23–28 · 50.9 — no line
2026-10-17TBD ● Louisville @ Syracuse Syracuse, NY FBS LOU to winLOU 82% 33–20 · 53.1 — no line
2026-10-17TBD ● North Carolina @ Duke Durham, NC FBS DUKE to winDUKE 74% 22–26 · 48.3 — no line
2026-10-17TBD ● Pittsburgh @ Boston College Chestnut Hill, MA FBS PITT to winPITT 81% 36–17 · 53.5 — no line
2026-10-17TBD ● Virginia @ SMU Dallas, TX FBS SMU to winSMU 65% 22–30 · 51.8 — no line
2026-10-17TBD ● Wake Forest @ California Berkeley, CA FBS WAKE to winWAKE 69% 33–22 · 55.1 — no line
2026-10-17TBD ● Ohio State @ Indiana Bloomington, IN FBS IU to winIU 52% 24–25 · 49.1 —
2026-10-17TBD ● Rutgers @ Maryland College Park, MD FBS MD to winMD 79% 19–34 · 53.4 — no line
2026-10-17TBD ● Penn State @ Michigan Ann Arbor, MI FBS PSU to winPSU 61% 23–21 · 44.1 —
2026-10-17TBD ● Northwestern @ Michigan State East Lansing, MI FBS MSU to winMSU 51% 23–24 · 47.7 — no line
2026-10-17TBD ● Nebraska @ Oregon Eugene, OR FBS ORE to winORE 69% 24–32 · 55.7 —
2026-10-17TBD ● Wisconsin @ UCLA Pasadena, CA FBS UCLA to winUCLA 72% 16–30 · 46.6 — no line
2026-10-17TBD Charlotte @ Temple Philadelphia, PA FBS TEM to winTEM 89% 15–36 · 50.1 — no line
2026-10-17TBD Navy @ UTSA San Antonio, TX FBS UTSA to winUTSA 77% 20–35 · 55.4 — no line
2026-10-17TBD Tulsa @ Rice Houston, TX FBS RICE to winTLSA 50% 26–24 · 49.5 — no line
2026-10-17TBD Kent State @ South Florida Tampa, FL FBS USF to winUSF 91% 17–39 · 55.4 — no line
2026-10-17TBD New Mexico @ Hawai'i Honolulu, HI FBS UNM to winUNM 69% 32–19 · 50.9 — no line
2026-10-17TBD Ball State @ Bowling Green Bowling Green, OH FBS BALL to winBALL 53% 28–24 · 51.9 — no line
2026-10-17TBD Massachusetts @ Buffalo Buffalo, NY FBS BUF to winMASS 54% 28–26 · 53.7 — no line
2026-10-17TBD Western Michigan @ Central Michigan Mount Pleasant, MI FBS WMU to winWMU 87% 33–13 · 45.3 — no line
2026-10-17TBD Toledo @ Eastern Michigan Ypsilanti, MI FBS TOL to winTOL 84% 34–17 · 51.0 — no line
2026-10-17TBD Ohio @ Sacramento State Sacramento, CA FBS FCS OHIO to winOHIO 74% 34–24 · 57.8 — no line
2026-10-17TBD Akron @ Miami (OH) Oxford, OH FBS M-OH to winM-OH 59% 24–28 · 52.0 — no line
2026-10-17TBD Illinois State @ Southern Illinois Carbondale, IL FCS ILST to winILST 69% 34–26 · 59.3 — no line
2026-10-17TBD Central Connecticut @ Mercyhurst Erie, PA FCS CCSU to winCCSU 60% 32–28 · 60.6 — no line
2026-10-17TBD Long Island University @ Wagner Staten Island, NY FCS WAG to winWAG 53% 25–26 · 50.7 — no line
2026-10-17TBD Arkansas State @ Southern Miss Hattiesburg, MS FBS USM to winUSM 53% 26–29 · 54.9 — no line
2026-10-17TBD Georgia State @ James Madison Harrisonburg, VA FBS JMU to winJMU 80% 19–32 · 51.7 — no line
2026-10-17TBD Troy @ Louisiana Lafayette, LA FBS UL to winUL 72% 21–31 · 52.5 — no line
2026-10-17TBD Louisiana Tech @ UL Monroe Monroe, LA FBS LT to winLT 65% 31–23 · 53.8 — no line
2026-10-1712:00 PM Florida Atlantic @ Army West Point, NY FBS ARMY to winARMY 78% 18–34 · 52.1 — no line
2026-10-1712:00 PM Hampton @ Sacred Heart Fairfield, CT FCS SHU to winSHU 79% 19–32 · 51.6 — no line
2026-10-1712:00 PM Chicago State @ North Carolina A&T Greensboro, NC NON-D1 FCS CHIC to winCHIC 76% 35–23 · 58.1 — no line
2026-10-1712:00 PM Rhode Island @ Yale New Haven, CT FCS YALE to winYALE 57% 26–29 · 54.5 — no line
2026-10-1712:00 PM Brown @ Princeton Princeton, NJ FCS PRIN to winPRIN 59% 25–28 · 53.4 — no line
2026-10-1712:00 PM New Haven @ Robert Morris Moon Township, PA FCS RMU to winRMU 83% 18–33 · 51.1 — no line
2026-10-171:00 PM The Citadel @ Texas A&M College Station, TX FCS FBS TA&M to winTA&M 99% 4–56 · 59.8 — no line
2026-10-171:00 PM Bryant @ Maine Orono, ME FCS BRY to winBRY 64% 28–23 · 51.3 — no line
2026-10-171:00 PM Monmouth @ New Hampshire Durham, NH FCS MONM to winMONM 52% 33–32 · 65.4 — no line
2026-10-171:00 PM Merrimack @ Dartmouth Hanover, NH FCS DART to winDART 80% 18–31 · 48.7 — no line
2026-10-171:00 PM Holy Cross @ Harvard Cambridge, MA FCS HARV to winHARV 95% 15–41 · 56.2 — no line
2026-10-171:00 PM Duquesne @ Stonehill North Easton, MA FCS DUQ to winDUQ 53% 26–24 · 49.9 — no line
2026-10-171:00 PM Georgetown @ Colgate Hamilton, NY FCS COLG to winCOLG 87% 18–36 · 53.4 — no line
2026-10-171:00 PM Dayton @ Butler Indianapolis, IN FCS BUT to winBUT 52% 27–27 · 54.0 — no line
2026-10-171:00 PM Morehead State @ Davidson Davidson, NC FCS MORE to winMORE 62% 34–29 · 63.2 — no line
2026-10-171:00 PM Marist @ Drake Des Moines, IA FCS DRKE to winDRKE 51% 24–25 · 49.1 — no line
2026-10-171:00 PM McNeese @ Northwestern State Natchitoches, LA FCS MCN to winMCN 93% 41–17 · 58.2 — no line
2026-10-171:30 PM VMI @ Wofford Spartanburg, SC FCS WOF to winWOF 93% 10–34 · 44.3 — no line
2026-10-172:00 PM Lehigh @ Cornell Ithaca, NY FCS LEH to winLEH 91% 37–16 · 52.9 — no line
2026-10-172:00 PM South Dakota State @ North Dakota Grand Forks, ND FCS UND to winUND 75% 26–37 · 63.7 — no line
2026-10-172:00 PM Austin Peay @ West Georgia Carrollton, GA FCS APSU to winAPSU 90% 37–16 · 52.5 — no line
2026-10-172:00 PM Presbyterian @ Stetson DeLand, FL FCS PRES to winPRES 75% 36–25 · 61.8 — no line
2026-10-172:30 PM UAlbany @ Stony Brook Stony Brook, NY FCS UALB to winUALB 59% 30–26 · 55.7 — no line
2026-10-172:30 PM Eastern Kentucky @ Tennessee Tech Cookeville, TN FCS TNTC to winTNTC 92% 14–38 · 51.6 — no line
2026-10-173:00 PM Lafayette @ Bucknell Lewisburg, PA FCS LAF to winLAF 50% 27–27 · 53.9 — no line
2026-10-173:00 PM Idaho @ Montana Missoula, MT FCS MONT to winMONT 83% 22–37 · 58.9 — no line
2026-10-173:00 PM Idaho State @ Weber State Ogden, UT FCS IDST to winIDST 80% 39–26 · 65.2 — no line
2026-10-173:00 PM Lindenwood @ Eastern Illinois Charleston, IL FCS EIU to winEIU 51% 29–30 · 58.6 — no line
2026-10-173:00 PM Gardner-Webb @ UT Martin Martin, TN FCS GWEB to winGWEB 52% 27–26 · 53.1 — no line
2026-10-173:00 PM Western Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State Cape Girardeau, MO FCS SEMO to winSEMO 59% 27–31 · 58.0 — no line
2026-10-173:00 PM Grambling @ Alabama A&M Huntsville, AL FCS GRAM to winGRAM 65% 34–27 · 61.2 — no line
2026-10-173:00 PM Alabama State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Pine Bluff, AR FCS ALST to winALST 72% 36–26 · 61.6 — no line
2026-10-173:00 PM Alcorn State @ Prairie View A&M Prairie View, TX FCS PV to winPV 76% 25–36 · 60.7 — no line
2026-10-173:00 PM Bethune-Cookman @ Mississippi Valley State Itta Bena, MS FCS BCU to winBCU 81% 38–24 · 62.3 — no line
2026-10-173:00 PM Florida A&M @ Jackson State Jackson, MS FCS JKST to winJKST 72% 25–34 · 59.2 — no line
2026-10-173:30 PM Northern Illinois @ Wyoming Laramie, WY FBS NIU to winNIU 54% 24–21 · 45.5 — no line
2026-10-173:30 PM UNLV @ Air Force USAF Academy, CO FBS UNLV to winAF 53% 24–26 · 50.6 — no line
2026-10-173:30 PM Towson @ Campbell Buies Creek, NC FCS CAM to winCAM 75% 23–33 · 56.0 — no line
2026-10-173:30 PM Morehouse College Maroon @ Howard Washington, DC NON-D1 FCS HOW to winHOW 98% 10–43 · 53.7 — no line
2026-10-173:30 PM Villanova @ Fordham Bronx, NY FCS VILL to winVILL 81% 32–18 · 49.9 — no line
2026-10-174:00 PM Valparaiso @ San Diego San Diego, CA FCS USD to winUSD 68% 26–34 · 60.3 — no line
2026-10-174:00 PM Stephen F. Austin @ Nicholls Thibodaux, LA FCS SFA to winSFA 86% 36–19 · 55.3 — no line
2026-10-175:00 PM South Dakota @ Murray State Murray, KY FCS SDAK to winSDAK 97% 44–13 · 57.2 — no line
2026-10-175:00 PM West Alabama @ West Florida Pensacola, FL NON-D1 WEST to winWEST 67% 25–32 · 56.7 — no line
2026-10-176:00 PM Washington State @ Oregon State Corvallis, OR FBS WSU to winWSU 66% 28–20 · 47.7 — no line
2026-10-176:00 PM Northern Iowa @ Youngstown State Youngstown, OH FCS YSU to winYSU 73% 26–36 · 62.6 — no line
2026-10-176:30 PM Morgan State @ Tennessee State Nashville, TN FCS MORG to winMORG 60% 25–21 · 46.4 — no line
2026-10-177:00 PM Nevada @ North Dakota State Fargo, ND FBS FCS NDSU to winNDSU 73% 20–30 · 49.3 — no line
2026-10-177:00 PM Abilene Christian @ North Alabama Florence, AL FCS ACU to winACU 59% 28–24 · 52.4 — no line
2026-10-177:00 PM Montana State @ Eastern Washington Cheney, WA FCS MTST to winMTST 93% 41–17 · 58.1 — no line
2026-10-177:00 PM Portland State @ Northern Arizona Flagstaff, AZ FCS NAU to winNAU 82% 23–38 · 61.7 — no line
2026-10-177:00 PM Central Arkansas @ Tarleton State Stephenville, TX FCS TAR to winTAR 86% 23–40 · 63.4 — no line
2026-10-177:00 PM UT Rio Grande Valley @ Incarnate Word San Antonio, TX FCS UT R to winUT R 51% 30–30 · 60.8 — no line
2026-10-177:00 PM Lamar @ SE Louisiana Hammond, LA FCS LAM to winLAM 64% 27–21 · 48.1 — no line
2026-10-177:00 PM Mercer @ Samford Birmingham, AL FCS MER to winMER 87% 35–17 · 52.3 — no line
2026-10-177:00 PM East Texas A&M @ Houston Christian Houston, TX FCS ETAM to winETAM 60% 30–26 · 55.7 — no line
2026-10-177:30 PM Elon @ Stanford Stanford, CA FCS FBS STAN to winSTAN 85% 17–34 · 50.4 — no line
2026-10-178:00 PM Cal Poly @ Northern Colorado Greeley, CO FCS CP to winCP 57% 28–25 · 53.7 — no line
2026-10-178:00 PM UC Davis @ Southern Utah Cedar City, UT FCS UCD to winUCD 68% 36–28 · 63.8 — no line
2026-10-179:00 PM San José State @ UTEP El Paso, TX FBS SJSU to winSJSU 59% 28–28 · 55.5 — no line
2026-10-1710:30 PM Fresno State @ San Diego State San Diego, CA FBS SDSU to winFRES 59% 24–22 · 46.2 — no line

Every row links to its full breakdown.