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Rhode Island

· 2-1 (1-0) · power +4.8 · #125
Our numberYALE -2.8 no book has priced this game

Yale

· power +4.7 · #126
Our side
MoneylineYALE to win ours 57%
Projected score 26–29 URI – YALE
2026-10-17 · 12:00 PM Yale Bowl · New Haven, CT Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Yale Bulldogs 92 ranks
Rhode Island Rams #136 rush offense Yale Bulldogs #44 run defense
Pass game edge Rhode Island Rams 85 ranks
Rhode Island Rams #19 pass offense Yale Bulldogs #104 pass defense
Run game even 1 ranks apart
Yale Bulldogs #134 rush offense Rhode Island Rams #135 run defense
Pass game even 16 ranks apart
Yale Bulldogs #64 pass offense Rhode Island Rams #48 pass defense
Rhode Island Rams Balanced · 53% run Avg pace Yale Bulldogs Run-heavy · 63% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Rhode Island Rams
WR Marquis Buchanan 20 rec · 234 yds · 3 TD #19 WR
LB Moses Meus 16 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL #29 LB
DL Case Mankins 6 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #107 DL
DB Andre DePina-Gray 16 tkl · 2 INT #206 DB
Yale Bulldogs
No graded players for this team in 2025.

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Rhode Island Rams +4.8 +1.4 +3.3 #125
Yale Bulldogs +4.7 +1.8 +2.9 #126

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Rhode Island offense vs Yale defense-1.5 pts
Yale offense vs Rhode Island defense-1.6 pts
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.