Our side
MoneylineBUF to win
ours 54%
Projected score
28–26
MASS – BUF
2026-10-17 · kickoff TBD
Broadview Stadium · Buffalo, NY
MAC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Buffalo lead
10–2
· 12 meetings since 1964
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Buffalo Bulls
194 ranks
Massachusetts Minutemen #246 rush offense
Buffalo Bulls #52 run defense
Pass game
edge Buffalo Bulls
151 ranks
Massachusetts Minutemen #257 pass offense
Buffalo Bulls #106 pass defense
Run game
even
23 ranks apart
Buffalo Bulls #245 rush offense
Massachusetts Minutemen #222 run defense
Pass game
edge Buffalo Bulls
82 ranks
Buffalo Bulls #182 pass offense
Massachusetts Minutemen #264 pass defense
Massachusetts Minutemen
Balanced · 51% run
Ball-control
Buffalo Bulls
Balanced · 46% run
Avg pace
Joe Harasymiak · 0-12
Pete Lembo · 17-20 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Massachusetts Minutemen
DB
Jahmad Harmon
3 tkl · 3 INT
#42 DB
QB
William Watson III
349 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT
#19 QB
DB
Zeraun Daniel
12 tkl · 1 PD
#225 DB
RB
Elijah Faulkner
134 rush yds · 2 rec
#133 RB
Buffalo Bulls
WR
Chance Morrow
18 rec · 221 yds · 5 TD
#6 WR
LB
SaVeon Brown
16 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#66 LB
LB
Stevie Bracey
16 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#118 LB
DL
Logan Goodwin
2 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#231 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Massachusetts offense vs Buffalo defense-1.7 pts
Buffalo offense vs Massachusetts defense-2.0 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.