← Matchups

Auburn

SEC · 2-0 · power +21.2 · #30
Our numberUGA -8.6 no book has priced this game

Georgia

SEC · 2-0 · power +23.4 · #21
Our side
MoneylineUGA to win ours 60%
Projected score 21–30 AUB – UGA
2026-10-17 · kickoff TBD Sanford Stadium · Athens, GA SEC game Early season

The books 1 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book AUB spreadUGA spread OverUnder AUB winUGA win AUB TT overAUB TT under UGA TT overUGA TT under
DraftKings

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Series Georgia lead 64–52–6 · 122 meetings since 1902
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 3 ranks apart
Auburn Tigers #23 rush offense Georgia Bulldogs #20 run defense
Pass game edge Georgia Bulldogs 140 ranks
Auburn Tigers #193 pass offense Georgia Bulldogs #53 pass defense
Run game edge Auburn Tigers 57 ranks
Georgia Bulldogs #62 rush offense Auburn Tigers #5 run defense
Pass game edge Georgia Bulldogs 50 ranks
Georgia Bulldogs #77 pass offense Auburn Tigers #127 pass defense
Auburn Tigers Balanced · 54% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 31 rush ypg Georgia Bulldogs Run-heavy · 59% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg
Hugh Freeze · 64-44 Kirby Smart · 117-21

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Auburn Tigers
LB Elijah Melendez 18 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #4 LB
DB Andre Jordan Jr. 5 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT #14 DB
DL Cody Sigler 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #149 DL
DB Eric Winters 14 tkl #194 DB
Georgia Bulldogs
RB Nate Frazier 127 rush yds · 4 TD · 1 rec #54 RB
QB Gunner Stockton 436 pass yds · 8 TD · 0 INT #39 QB
P Drew Miller 5 punts · 49.8 yd avg #22 P
WR Talyn Taylor 5 rec · 59 yds · 2 TD #298 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Auburn TigersSEC +21.2 +5.8 +15.4 #30
Georgia BulldogsSEC +23.4 +16.5 +6.9 #21

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Auburn offense vs Georgia defense-1.1 pts
Georgia offense vs Auburn defense+1.1 pts
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.