← Matchups

Columbia

· power -15.4 · #349
Our numberPENN -11.8 no book has priced this game

Pennsylvania

· power -6.7 · #260
Our side
MoneylinePENN to win ours 77%
Projected score 20–32 COLU – PENN
2026-10-16 · 7:00 PM Franklin Field · Philadelphia, PA Conference game Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Pennsylvania lead 61–21–1 · 83 meetings since 1878
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 3 ranks apart
Columbia Lions #193 rush offense Pennsylvania Quakers #190 run defense
Pass game even 43 ranks apart
Columbia Lions #216 pass offense Pennsylvania Quakers #173 pass defense
Run game even 34 ranks apart
Pennsylvania Quakers #147 rush offense Columbia Lions #181 run defense
Pass game edge Pennsylvania Quakers 139 ranks
Pennsylvania Quakers #84 pass offense Columbia Lions #223 pass defense
Columbia Lions Balanced · 54% run Ball-control Pennsylvania Quakers Balanced · 49% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 55 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Columbia Lions -15.4 -13.8 -1.6 #349
Pennsylvania Quakers -6.7 -1.4 -5.3 #260

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Columbia offense vs Pennsylvania defense-8.5 pts
Pennsylvania offense vs Columbia defense+0.2 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.