Our side
MoneylineGRAM to win
ours 35%
Projected score
34–27
GRAM – AAMU
2026-10-17 · 3:00 PM
Louis Crews Stadium · Huntsville, AL
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Grambling lead
11–5
· 16 meetings since 2007
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Alabama A&M Bulldogs
46 ranks
Grambling Tigers #176 rush offense
Alabama A&M Bulldogs #130 run defense
Pass game
edge Grambling Tigers
98 ranks
Grambling Tigers #163 pass offense
Alabama A&M Bulldogs #261 pass defense
Run game
edge Grambling Tigers
127 ranks
Alabama A&M Bulldogs #219 rush offense
Grambling Tigers #92 run defense
Pass game
edge Grambling Tigers
136 ranks
Alabama A&M Bulldogs #176 pass offense
Grambling Tigers #40 pass defense
Grambling Tigers
Run-heavy · 60% run
Ball-control
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
Balanced · 48% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Grambling Tigers
DB
Jalen Guillard
14 tkl · 4 PD
#185 DB
RB
Byron Eaton Jr.
79 rush yds · 1 TD · 5 rec
#120 RB
WR
Jordan Bride
14 rec · 221 yds
#181 WR
WR
Tyson George
15 rec · 160 yds · 1 TD
#194 WR
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
DB
Jeremiah Hudson-Davis
35 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#10 DB
DL
Kylon Roberts
17 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#54 DL
WR
Jarel Williams
16 rec · 279 yds · 2 TD
#47 WR
DL
Arenza Davis
12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#113 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Grambling offense vs Alabama A&M defense+9.3 pts
Alabama A&M offense vs Grambling defense+0.5 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.1 pts
Power projection before adjustment-6.3
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).