Our side
MoneylineNIU to win
ours 46%
Projected score
24–21
NIU – WYO
2026-10-17 · 3:30 PM
War Memorial Stadium · Laramie, WY
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Wyoming lead
2–0
· 2 meetings since 2016
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
37 ranks apart
Northern Illinois Huskies #133 rush offense
Wyoming Cowboys #96 run defense
Pass game
edge Wyoming Cowboys
206 ranks
Northern Illinois Huskies #232 pass offense
Wyoming Cowboys #26 pass defense
Run game
edge Northern Illinois Huskies
55 ranks
Wyoming Cowboys #222 rush offense
Northern Illinois Huskies #167 run defense
Pass game
edge Northern Illinois Huskies
175 ranks
Wyoming Cowboys #222 pass offense
Northern Illinois Huskies #47 pass defense
Northern Illinois Huskies
Run-heavy · 71% run
Ball-control
Wyoming Cowboys
Balanced · 52% run
Avg pace
Thomas Hammock · 35-47
Jay Sawvel · 7-17 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Northern Illinois Huskies
LB
Jashawn Nelson
19 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#47 LB
DB
Avery Jones
11 tkl
#136 DB
LB
Jack Murray
18 tkl · 0.5 TFL
#108 LB
DB
Andruw Ellis
1 tkl · 1 INT
#204 DB
Wyoming Cowboys
DL
Esaia Bogar
12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#25 DL
LB
Ethan Stuhlsatz
26 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#18 LB
DB
Jones Thomas
13 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
#94 DB
DL
Jack Dunkley
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#328 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Northern Illinois offense vs Wyoming defense-9.9 pts
Wyoming offense vs Northern Illinois defense-13.5 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 867 mi
Altitude · context only1,932 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.