← Matchups

Kennesaw State

CUSA · 1-1 · power +0.2 · #170
Our numberMOST -9.9 no book has priced this game

Missouri State

CUSA · 1-1 · power +6.7 · #106
Our side
MoneylineMOST to win ours 69%
Projected score 21–31 KENN – MOST
2026-10-14 · 7:30 PM Robert W. Plaster Stadium · Springfield, MO CUSA game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Kennesaw State lead 2–0 · 2 meetings since 2019
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 41 ranks apart
Kennesaw State Owls #151 rush offense Missouri State Bears #192 run defense
Pass game edge Kennesaw State Owls 138 ranks
Kennesaw State Owls #62 pass offense Missouri State Bears #200 pass defense
Run game even 24 ranks apart
Missouri State Bears #187 rush offense Kennesaw State Owls #211 run defense
Pass game even 21 ranks apart
Missouri State Bears #90 pass offense Kennesaw State Owls #111 pass defense
Kennesaw State Owls Run-heavy · 59% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg Missouri State Bears Balanced · 49% run Avg pace
Jerry Mack · 10-4 Ryan Beard · 7-5 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Kennesaw State Owls
QB Rickie Collins 416 pass yds · 2 TD · 1 INT #50 QB
DL Ugonna Nwoha 3 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #315 DL
DL Marcus Patterson 9 tkl · 1.5 TFL #450 DL
RB Latrelle Murrell 100 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec #183 RB
Missouri State Bears
LB Jared Lloyd 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #39 LB
DB Joel Boamah 8 tkl · 3 PD #197 DB
WR Isaiah Myers 5 rec · 155 yds · 1 TD #141 WR
DB Anthony Mattison 6 tkl · 1 PD #367 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Kennesaw State OwlsCUSA +0.2 -1.4 +1.7 #170
Missouri State BearsCUSA +6.7 +3.9 +2.7 #106

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Kennesaw State offense vs Missouri State defense-4.2 pts
Missouri State offense vs Kennesaw State defense+2.3 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 536 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.