Our side
MoneylineMISS to win
ours 66%
Projected score
25–30
MIZ – MISS
2026-10-17 · kickoff TBD
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium · Oxford, MS
SEC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Missouri lead
7–1
· 8 meetings since 1973
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Missouri Tigers
169 ranks
Missouri Tigers #29 rush offense
Ole Miss Rebels #198 run defense
Pass game
edge Ole Miss Rebels
159 ranks
Missouri Tigers #217 pass offense
Ole Miss Rebels #58 pass defense
Run game
even
4 ranks apart
Ole Miss Rebels #53 rush offense
Missouri Tigers #57 run defense
Pass game
even
12 ranks apart
Ole Miss Rebels #23 pass offense
Missouri Tigers #11 pass defense
Missouri Tigers
Run-heavy · 60% run
Avg pace
Ole Miss Rebels
Balanced · 52% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 39 rush ypg
Eli Drinkwitz · 58-30
Pete Golding · 2-1
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Missouri Tigers
WR
Donovan Olugbode
14 rec · 237 yds · 3 TD
#28 WR
QB
Austin Simmons
544 pass yds · 7 TD · 0 INT
#15 QB
WR
Cayden Lee
10 rec · 200 yds · 2 TD
#78 WR
RB
Jamal Roberts
172 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec
#136 RB
Ole Miss Rebels
WR
Deuce Alexander
13 rec · 235 yds · 2 TD
#24 WR
QB
Trinidad Chambliss
561 pass yds · 5 TD · 1 INT
#13 QB
DB
Jaylon Braxton
11 tkl · 3 PD
#111 DB
RB
Kewan Lacy
148 rush yds · 3 TD · 5 rec
#50 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Missouri offense vs Ole Miss defense-0.1 pts
Ole Miss offense vs Missouri defense+4.5 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.