Our side
MoneylinePITT to win
ours 19%
Projected score
36–17
PITT – BC
2026-10-17 · kickoff TBD
Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) · Chestnut Hill, MA
ACC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Pittsburgh lead
19–16
· 35 meetings since 1959
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
8 ranks apart
Pittsburgh Panthers #148 rush offense
Boston College Eagles #156 run defense
Pass game
edge Pittsburgh Panthers
126 ranks
Pittsburgh Panthers #70 pass offense
Boston College Eagles #196 pass defense
Run game
edge Pittsburgh Panthers
163 ranks
Boston College Eagles #175 rush offense
Pittsburgh Panthers #12 run defense
Pass game
even
39 ranks apart
Boston College Eagles #140 pass offense
Pittsburgh Panthers #101 pass defense
Pittsburgh Panthers
Balanced · 47% run
Ball-control
Boston College Eagles
Balanced · 45% run
Avg pace
Pat Narduzzi · 80-61
Bill O'Brien · 9-16
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Pittsburgh Panthers
QB
Mason Heintschel
665 pass yds · 7 TD · 0 INT
#23 QB
DL
Isaiah Neal
4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#160 DL
WR
Cataurus Hicks
8 rec · 178 yds · 1 TD
#117 WR
RB
Damon Ferguson Jr.
81 rush yds · 1 TD · 6 rec
#94 RB
Boston College Eagles
LB
Anthony Palano
22 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#3 LB
DB
Marcus Upton
13 tkl · 2 PD
#134 DB
DL
E'Lla Boykin
8 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#211 DL
RB
Evan Dickens
103 rush yds · 2 TD · 6 rec
#85 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Pittsburgh offense vs Boston College defense+6.9 pts
Boston College offense vs Pittsburgh defense-9.6 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 477 mi
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.