← Matchups

Washington

B1G · 2-0 · power +21.1 · #31
Our numberWASH -8.3 no book has priced this game

Purdue

B1G · 1-1 · power +9.7 · #87
Our side
MoneylineWASH to win ours 28%
Projected score 29–21 WASH – PUR
2026-10-16 · 8:00 PM Ross-Ade Stadium · West Lafayette, IN B1G game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Washington lead 8–2–1 · 11 meetings since 1961
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Washington Huskies 214 ranks
Washington Huskies #18 rush offense Purdue Boilermakers #232 run defense
Pass game edge Washington Huskies 224 ranks
Washington Huskies #29 pass offense Purdue Boilermakers #253 pass defense
Run game edge Washington Huskies 80 ranks
Purdue Boilermakers #112 rush offense Washington Huskies #32 run defense
Pass game edge Washington Huskies 140 ranks
Purdue Boilermakers #200 pass offense Washington Huskies #60 pass defense
Washington Huskies Balanced · 53% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 50 rush ypg Purdue Boilermakers Balanced · 49% run Ball-control
Jedd Fisch · 32-33 Barry Odom · 47-43 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Washington Huskies
DB Alex McLaughlin 15 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT #1 DB
QB Demond Williams Jr. 517 pass yds · 1 TD · 0 INT #25 QB
DL Derek Colman-Brusa 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #175 DL
TE Baron Naone 8 rec · 70 yds #60 TE
Purdue Boilermakers
RB Fame Ijeboi 201 rush yds · 4 TD · 8 rec #9 RB
DB Don Saunders 10 tkl · 1 INT #38 DB
K Jacobo Echeverria Lozano 6 FG · 8 XP · 26 pts #8 K
DL Jeremy Lewis 5 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL #64 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Washington HuskiesB1G +21.1 +7.1 +14.1 #31
Purdue BoilermakersB1G +9.7 +7.1 +2.6 #87

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Washington offense vs Purdue defense+4.5 pts
Purdue offense vs Washington defense-7.0 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,809 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.