← Matchups

Alabama

SEC · 2-0 (1-0 SEC) · power +33.7 · #4
Our numberALA -3.9 no book has priced this game

Tennessee

SEC · 2-0 · power +26.9 · #12
Our side
MoneylineALA to win ours 38%
Projected score 30–26 ALA – TENN
2026-10-17 · kickoff TBD Neyland Stadium · Knoxville, TN SEC game Early season

The books 1 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book ALA spreadTENN spread OverUnder ALA winTENN win ALA TT overALA TT under TENN TT overTENN TT under
DraftKings

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Series Alabama lead 61–39–7 · 107 meetings since 1903
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Tennessee Volunteers 122 ranks
Alabama Crimson Tide #213 rush offense Tennessee Volunteers #91 run defense
Pass game edge Alabama Crimson Tide 46 ranks
Alabama Crimson Tide #49 pass offense Tennessee Volunteers #95 pass defense
Run game edge Tennessee Volunteers 73 ranks
Tennessee Volunteers #24 rush offense Alabama Crimson Tide #97 run defense
Pass game even 2 ranks apart
Tennessee Volunteers #31 pass offense Alabama Crimson Tide #29 pass defense
Alabama Crimson Tide Balanced · 48% run Ball-control Tennessee Volunteers Balanced · 52% run Avg pace
Kalen DeBoer · 57-17 Josh Heupel · 73-28 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Alabama Crimson Tide
K Conor Talty 5 FG · 10 XP · 25 pts #2 K
LB Yhonzae Pierre 4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #30 LB
LB Luke Metz 10 tkl #35 LB
RB Daniel Hill 151 rush yds · 3 TD · 4 rec #29 RB
Tennessee Volunteers
DL Xavier Gilliam 8 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 5.5 TFL #36 DL
DB Dejuan Lane 4 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT #35 DB
RB DeSean Bishop 244 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec #16 RB
QB Faizon Brandon 374 pass yds · 5 TD · 0 INT #16 QB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Alabama Crimson TideSEC +33.7 +18.9 +14.9 #4
Tennessee VolunteersSEC +26.9 +22.0 +5.0 #12

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Alabama offense vs Tennessee defense+13.9 pts
Tennessee offense vs Alabama defense+7.1 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.