BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

On the board
0 priced of 115
Median gap
—
Straight up
104–32
Model state
—
Wk 0 Wk 1 Wk 2 Wk 3 Wk 4 Wk 5 Wk 6 Wk 7 Wk 8 Wk 9 Wk 10 Wk 11 Wk 12 Wk 13 Wk 14 Wk 15
● Top projected winners 76% · 104-32 this season

The model's most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Graded straight-up on the public record once games are played.

Top projected winners ranked by our win probability · graded straight up, never against a price

No game on this slate has a win probability to rank yet.

Top spread reads ranked by the book’s de-vigged lean toward our side — the only calibrated cover probability here; “we differ by” is distance, not confidence

No game on this slate has a book spread to compare against yet.

Top total reads ranked by the book’s de-vigged lean toward our side; the points are our distance from the line

No game on this slate has a book total to compare against yet.

Top team totals our projected score against the book’s team total · 0 games priced this week

No book has posted a team total on this slate yet.

All games 115 Sheet Panels All games
KickoffMatchupDivOur side Our projectionMarket Best number (tap to add)
2026-10-277:00 PM Delaware @ Western Kentucky Bowling Green, KY FBS DEL to winDEL 64% 36–23 · 58.7 — no line
2026-10-278:00 PM Sam Houston @ Missouri State Springfield, MO FBS MOST to winMOST 80% 20–31 · 50.7 — no line
2026-10-287:00 PM Kennesaw State @ Middle Tennessee Murfreesboro, TN FBS KENN to winMTSU 51% 24–28 · 52.2 — no line
2026-10-288:00 PM Jacksonville State @ New Mexico State Las Cruces, NM FBS JXST to winJXST 59% 27–26 · 52.9 — no line
2026-10-297:00 PM South Carolina State @ Morgan State Baltimore, MD FCS SCST to winSCST 84% 37–21 · 57.8 — no line
2026-10-297:30 PM Florida Atlantic @ North Texas Denton, TX FBS UNT to winUNT 90% 23–41 · 64.2 — no line
2026-10-297:30 PM Troy @ James Madison Harrisonburg, VA FBS JMU to winJMU 80% 18–32 · 49.9 — no line
2026-10-307:00 PM Tulane @ Charlotte Charlotte, NC FBS TULN to winTULN 90% 34–14 · 47.2 — no line
2026-10-307:00 PM Harvard @ Dartmouth Hanover, NH FCS HARV to winHARV 66% 32–26 · 58.1 — no line
2026-10-307:30 PM ● Baylor @ UCF Orlando, FL FBS BAY to winBAY 54% 26–23 · 49.0 — no line
2026-10-3010:30 PM Kent State @ Sacramento State Sacramento, CA FBS FCS KENT to winKENT 60% 33–29 · 61.5 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Missouri @ Arkansas Fayetteville, AR FBS MIZ to winMIZ 69% 34–20 · 53.4 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Auburn @ Ole Miss Oxford, MS FBS MISS to winMISS 63% 22–30 · 51.8 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● South Carolina @ Oklahoma Norman, OK FBS OU to winOU 68% 23–25 · 47.7 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Mississippi State @ Texas Austin, TX FBS TEX to winTEX 76% 25–31 · 56.2 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Arizona @ Texas Tech Lubbock, TX FBS TTU to winTTU 64% 24–31 · 54.4 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Arizona State @ BYU Provo, UT FBS BYU to winBYU 79% 17–34 · 50.3 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Kansas @ TCU Fort Worth, TX FBS TCU to winTCU 73% 20–31 · 51.3 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Kansas State @ Colorado Boulder, CO FBS KSU to winKSU 70% 30–21 · 50.6 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Oklahoma State @ Iowa State Ames, IA FBS ISU to winISU 84% 16–34 · 49.2 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Utah @ Cincinnati Cincinnati, OH FBS UTAH to winUTAH 77% 32–20 · 51.8 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● California @ NC State Raleigh, NC FBS NCSU to winNCSU 71% 20–33 · 53.2 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● SMU @ Syracuse Syracuse, NY FBS SMU to winSMU 89% 37–15 · 51.9 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Boston College @ Duke Durham, NC FBS DUKE to winDUKE 88% 18–34 · 52.3 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Clemson @ Florida State Tallahassee, FL FBS FSU to winCLEM 56% 26–23 · 49.7 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Georgia Tech @ Pittsburgh Pittsburgh, PA FBS PITT to winPITT 74% 21–32 · 52.5 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Miami @ North Carolina Chapel Hill, NC FBS MIA to winMIA 80% 33–13 · 45.9 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Stanford @ Louisville Louisville, KY FBS LOU to winLOU 89% 18–37 · 54.7 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Virginia @ Wake Forest Winston-Salem, NC FBS UVA to winUVA 60% 30–23 · 52.6 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Minnesota @ Indiana Bloomington, IN FBS IU to winIU 96% 10–40 · 49.5 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Wisconsin @ Iowa Iowa City, IA FBS IOWA to winIOWA 81% 15–29 · 44.5 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Illinois @ Maryland College Park, MD FBS ILL to winILL 58% 26–26 · 52.3 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Washington @ Nebraska Lincoln, NE FBS NEB to winNEB 51% 23–26 · 49.3 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Northwestern @ Oregon Eugene, OR FBS ORE to winORE 75% 19–32 · 51.3 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Purdue @ Penn State University Park, PA FBS PSU to winPSU 90% 14–36 · 50.0 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Michigan @ Rutgers Piscataway, NJ FBS MICH to winMICH 87% 35–13 · 48.2 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Nevada @ UCLA Pasadena, CA FBS UCLA to winUCLA 84% 15–34 · 49.3 — no line
2026-10-31TBD ● Ohio State @ USC Los Angeles, CA FBS OSU to winOSU 66% 28–23 · 50.6 — no line
2026-10-31TBD Oregon State @ Fresno State Fresno, CA FBS FRES to winFRES 68% 21–27 · 48.3 — no line
2026-10-31TBD Army @ Memphis Memphis, TN FBS MEM to winMEM 60% 23–25 · 47.9 — no line
2026-10-31TBD Temple @ East Carolina Greenville, NC FBS ECU to winTEM 60% 27–26 · 52.7 — no line
2026-10-31TBD UAB @ South Florida Tampa, FL FBS USF to winUSF 91% 18–38 · 55.4 — no line
2026-10-31TBD New Mexico @ San José State San Jose, CA FBS UNM to winUNM 66% 34–20 · 53.8 — no line
2026-10-31TBD UFTL @ Chicago State Bridgeview, IL NON-D1 UFTL to winUFTL 73% 34–24 · 58.2 — no line
2026-10-31TBD South Dakota @ South Dakota State Brookings, SD FCS SDAK to winSDAK 52% 32–31 · 62.5 — no line
2026-10-31TBD Robert Morris @ Central Connecticut New Britain, CT FCS CCSU to winCCSU 55% 26–29 · 55.2 — no line
2026-10-31TBD App State @ Georgia Southern Statesboro, GA FBS GASO to winAPP 51% 26–26 · 52.0 — no line
2026-10-31TBD Coastal Carolina @ Georgia State Atlanta, GA FBS CCU to winGAST 50% 26–29 · 55.1 — no line
2026-10-31TBD Southern Miss @ UL Monroe Monroe, LA FBS USM to winUSM 64% 33–22 · 54.6 — no line
2026-10-31TBD Marshall @ Old Dominion Norfolk, VA FBS ODU to winODU 64% 26–30 · 55.5 — no line
2026-10-31TBD Louisiana Tech @ South Alabama Mobile, AL FBS USA to winUSA 63% 24–29 · 52.9 — no line
2026-10-3112:00 PM Notre Dame @ Navy Foxborough, MA · neutral FBS ND to winND 95% 39–13 · 52.9 — no line
2026-10-3112:00 PM Bowling Green @ Western Michigan Kalamazoo, MI FBS WMU to winWMU 89% 14–33 · 47.4 — no line
2026-10-3112:00 PM Campbell @ UAlbany Albany, NY FCS UALB to winUALB 55% 25–27 · 52.6 — no line
2026-10-3112:00 PM Maine @ Rhode Island Pawtucket, RI FCS URI to winURI 92% 15–37 · 52.2 — no line
2026-10-3112:00 PM Sacred Heart @ Stony Brook Stony Brook, NY FCS STBK to winSTBK 68% 25–33 · 58.3 — no line
2026-10-3112:00 PM Pennsylvania @ Brown Providence, RI FCS PENN to winPENN 52% 31–30 · 60.2 — no line
2026-10-3112:00 PM Yale @ Columbia New York, NY FCS YALE to winYALE 87% 34–16 · 49.2 — no line
2026-10-3112:00 PM Cornell @ Princeton Princeton, NJ FCS PRIN to winPRIN 67% 21–28 · 48.8 — no line
2026-10-3112:00 PM North Dakota @ Youngstown State Youngstown, OH FCS UND to winUND 69% 38–30 · 67.7 — no line
2026-10-3112:00 PM Mercyhurst @ Stonehill North Easton, MA FCS STO to winSTO 55% 24–26 · 49.3 — no line
2026-10-3112:00 PM Wagner @ Merrimack North Andover, MA FCS MRMK to winMRMK 68% 20–28 · 48.3 — no line
2026-10-3112:00 PM Bucknell @ Lehigh Bethlehem, PA FCS LEH to winLEH 97% 10–41 · 51.7 — no line
2026-10-3112:00 PM Duquesne @ New Haven West Haven, CT FCS DUQ to winDUQ 63% 31–26 · 57.1 — no line
2026-10-3112:30 PM Villanova @ Lafayette Easton, PA FCS VILL to winVILL 66% 32–25 · 56.4 — no line
2026-10-311:00 PM Bryant @ Monmouth West Long Branch, NJ FCS MONM to winMONM 59% 28–32 · 60.0 — no line
2026-10-311:00 PM Elon @ North Carolina A&T Greensboro, NC FCS ELON to winELON 94% 38–13 · 50.8 — no line
2026-10-311:00 PM Hampton @ Towson Towson, MD FCS TOW to winTOW 83% 18–34 · 52.4 — no line
2026-10-311:00 PM William & Mary @ Colgate Hamilton, NY FCS COLG to winCOLG 61% 26–30 · 56.4 — no line
2026-10-311:00 PM Richmond @ Holy Cross Worcester, MA FCS RICH to winRICH 73% 31–21 · 52.3 — no line
2026-10-311:00 PM Butler @ Presbyterian Clinton, SC FCS BUT to winBUT 54% 31–29 · 60.3 — no line
2026-10-311:00 PM Dayton @ Stetson DeLand, FL FCS DAY to winDAY 86% 36–19 · 55.6 — no line
2026-10-311:00 PM Drake @ Morehead State Morehead, KY FCS MORE to winMORE 55% 30–32 · 61.9 — no line
2026-10-311:00 PM VMI @ Chattanooga Chattanooga, TN FCS UTC to winUTC 88% 15–34 · 48.7 — no line
2026-10-312:00 PM Murray State @ Illinois State Normal, IL FCS ILST to winILST 99% 8–46 · 54.9 — no line
2026-10-312:00 PM Indiana State @ Northern Iowa Cedar Falls, IA FCS UNI to winUNI 70% 25–33 · 57.9 — no line
2026-10-312:00 PM Delaware State @ Norfolk State Norfolk, VA FCS DSU to winDSU 50% 28–28 · 55.2 — no line
2026-10-312:00 PM Howard @ North Carolina Central Durham, NC FCS NCCU to winNCCU 58% 25–29 · 54.1 — no line
2026-10-312:00 PM Western Illinois @ Charleston Southern Charleston, SC FCS WIU to winWIU 52% 26–25 · 50.9 — no line
2026-10-312:00 PM Gardner-Webb @ Southeast Missouri State Cape Girardeau, MO FCS GWEB to winGWEB 54% 28–26 · 53.9 — no line
2026-10-312:00 PM Tennessee State @ Lindenwood Saint Charles, MO FCS LIN to winLIN 73% 20–30 · 50.5 — no line
2026-10-312:00 PM Davidson @ St. Thomas-Minnesota Saint Paul, MN FCS STMN to winSTMN 92% 19–42 · 60.3 — no line
2026-10-312:00 PM Western Carolina @ Furman Greenville, SC FCS FUR to winFUR 64% 26–32 · 57.5 — no line
2026-10-313:00 PM UConn @ Air Force USAF Academy, CO FBS AF to winAF 65% 21–32 · 53.2 — no line
2026-10-313:00 PM Cal Poly @ Montana State Bozeman, MT FCS MTST to winMTST 97% 14–44 · 57.6 — no line
2026-10-313:00 PM Idaho State @ Utah Tech Saint George, UT FCS IDST to winIDST 88% 38–19 · 56.7 — no line
2026-10-313:00 PM Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah Cedar City, UT FCS SUU to winSUU 53% 31–32 · 63.3 — no line
2026-10-313:00 PM UC Davis @ Weber State Ogden, UT FCS UCD to winUCD 79% 39–26 · 65.3 — no line
2026-10-313:00 PM Eastern Illinois @ UT Martin Martin, TN FCS UTM to winUTM 73% 22–32 · 54.7 — no line
2026-10-313:00 PM Houston Christian @ Stephen F. Austin Nacogdoches, TX FCS SFA to winSFA 98% 12–44 · 55.9 — no line
2026-10-313:00 PM Alcorn State @ Mississippi Valley State Itta Bena, MS FCS ALCN to winALCN 74% 35–25 · 59.7 — no line
2026-10-313:00 PM The Citadel @ Mercer Macon, GA FCS MER to winMER 87% 20–39 · 58.8 — no line
2026-10-313:00 PM Bethune-Cookman @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Pine Bluff, AR FCS BCU to winBCU 63% 37–32 · 69.2 — no line
2026-10-313:00 PM Southern @ Florida A&M Tallahassee, FL FCS FAMU to winFAMU 69% 24–33 · 57.1 — no line
2026-10-313:00 PM Nicholls @ McNeese Lake Charles, LA FCS MCN to winMCN 62% 24–29 · 53.8 — no line
2026-10-313:30 PM ● Florida @ Georgia Atlanta, GA · neutral FBS UGA to winUGA 57% 25–30 · 54.7 —
2026-10-313:30 PM Colorado State @ Utah State Logan, UT FBS USU to winUSU 57% 26–27 · 53.3 — no line
2026-10-313:30 PM UTEP @ North Dakota State Fargo, ND FBS FCS NDSU to winNDSU 85% 20–37 · 57.2 — no line
2026-10-313:30 PM Alabama State @ Alabama A&M Birmingham, AL · neutral FCS ALST to winALST 68% 32–24 · 56.2 — no line
2026-10-313:30 PM Tennessee Tech @ East Tennessee State Johnson City, TN FCS TNTC to winTNTC 72% 35–25 · 60.1 — no line
2026-10-313:30 PM Florida International @ Liberty Lynchburg, VA FBS FIU to winFIU 52% 25–24 · 49.6 — no line
2026-10-314:00 PM West Georgia @ Abilene Christian Abilene, TX FCS ACU to winACU 86% 16–33 · 49.1 — no line
2026-10-314:00 PM Montana @ Eastern Washington Cheney, WA FCS MONT to winMONT 73% 34–24 · 57.5 — no line
2026-10-314:00 PM Idaho @ Portland State Portland, OR FCS IDHO to winIDHO 69% 35–27 · 62.5 — no line
2026-10-314:00 PM Marist @ San Diego San Diego, CA FCS USD to winUSD 56% 24–27 · 51.0 — no line
2026-10-314:00 PM SE Louisiana @ East Texas A&M Commerce, TX FCS ETAM to winETAM 56% 26–29 · 54.9 — no line
2026-10-315:00 PM North Alabama @ Central Arkansas Conway, AR FCS CARK to winCARK 64% 27–33 · 60.1 — no line
2026-10-315:00 PM Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word San Antonio, TX FCS UIW to winUIW 97% 16–47 · 64.0 — no line
2026-10-317:00 PM Washington State @ San Diego State San Diego, CA FBS SDSU to winWSU 52% 23–22 · 45.6 — no line
2026-10-317:00 PM Eastern Kentucky @ Tarleton State Stephenville, TX FCS TAR to winTAR 95% 14–42 · 55.7 — no line
2026-10-317:00 PM Wofford @ Samford Birmingham, AL FCS WOF to winWOF 78% 29–16 · 45.0 — no line
2026-10-318:00 PM Lamar @ UT Rio Grande Valley Edinburg, TX FCS UT R to winUT R 68% 21–28 · 49.7 — no line
2026-10-318:30 PM Grambling @ Texas Southern Houston, TX FCS GRAM to winGRAM 77% 36–24 · 60.5 — no line
2026-10-3110:00 PM Texas State @ Boise State Boise, ID FBS BOIS to winBOIS 79% 22–36 · 57.2 — no line
2026-10-3110:30 PM Northern Illinois @ UNLV Las Vegas, NV FBS UNLV to winUNLV 77% 19–29 · 48.0 — no line

Every row links to its full breakdown.