Yale
· power +4.7 · #126
Our numberYALE -17.9
no book has priced this game
Columbia
· power -15.4 · #349
Our side
MoneylineYALE to win
ours 13%
Projected score
34–16
YALE – COLU
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Yale lead
62–17–2
· 81 meetings since 1872
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Yale Bulldogs
47 ranks
Yale Bulldogs #134 rush offense
Columbia Lions #181 run defense
Pass game
edge Yale Bulldogs
159 ranks
Yale Bulldogs #64 pass offense
Columbia Lions #223 pass defense
Run game
edge Yale Bulldogs
149 ranks
Columbia Lions #193 rush offense
Yale Bulldogs #44 run defense
Pass game
edge Yale Bulldogs
112 ranks
Columbia Lions #216 pass offense
Yale Bulldogs #104 pass defense
Yale Bulldogs
Run-heavy · 63% run
Avg pace
Columbia Lions
Balanced · 54% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Power breakdown
| Team | Power | Off | Def | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yale Bulldogs |
+4.7 | +1.8 | +2.9 | #126 |
| Columbia Lions |
-15.4 | -13.8 | -1.6 | #349 |
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Yale offense vs Columbia defense+3.4 pts
Columbia offense vs Yale defense-16.7 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.