Our side
MoneylineMIZ to win
ours 31%
Projected score
34–20
MIZ – ARK
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD
Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium · Fayetteville, AR
SEC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Missouri lead
13–4
· 17 meetings since 1906
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Missouri Tigers
207 ranks
Missouri Tigers #29 rush offense
Arkansas Razorbacks #236 run defense
Pass game
even
20 ranks apart
Missouri Tigers #217 pass offense
Arkansas Razorbacks #237 pass defense
Run game
even
44 ranks apart
Arkansas Razorbacks #13 rush offense
Missouri Tigers #57 run defense
Pass game
edge Missouri Tigers
63 ranks
Arkansas Razorbacks #74 pass offense
Missouri Tigers #11 pass defense
Missouri Tigers
Run-heavy · 60% run
Avg pace
Arkansas Razorbacks
Balanced · 52% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 65 rush ypg
Eli Drinkwitz · 58-30
Sam Pittman · 32-34 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Missouri Tigers
WR
Donovan Olugbode
14 rec · 237 yds · 3 TD
#28 WR
QB
Austin Simmons
544 pass yds · 7 TD · 0 INT
#15 QB
WR
Cayden Lee
10 rec · 200 yds · 2 TD
#78 WR
RB
Jamal Roberts
172 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec
#136 RB
Arkansas Razorbacks
DB
Khmori House
8 tkl
#173 DB
WR
Chris Marshall
12 rec · 142 yds
#196 WR
DB
Christian Harrison
9 tkl · 1 INT
#325 DB
DB
Joker Johnson
10 tkl · 1 PD
#465 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Missouri offense vs Arkansas defense+4.0 pts
Arkansas offense vs Missouri defense-5.9 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.