Pennsylvania
· power -6.7 · #260
Our numberPENN -1.0
no book has priced this game
Brown
· power -10.4 · #302
Our side
MoneylinePENN to win
ours 48%
Projected score
31–30
PENN – BRWN
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Pennsylvania lead
50–21–1
· 72 meetings since 1895
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Pennsylvania Quakers
56 ranks
Pennsylvania Quakers #147 rush offense
Brown Bears #203 run defense
Pass game
even
26 ranks apart
Pennsylvania Quakers #84 pass offense
Brown Bears #110 pass defense
Run game
even
6 ranks apart
Brown Bears #196 rush offense
Pennsylvania Quakers #190 run defense
Pass game
even
26 ranks apart
Brown Bears #147 pass offense
Pennsylvania Quakers #173 pass defense
Pennsylvania Quakers
Balanced · 49% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 55 rush ypg
Brown Bears
Balanced · 45% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Power breakdown
| Team | Power | Off | Def | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pennsylvania Quakers |
-6.7 | -1.4 | -5.3 | #260 |
| Brown Bears |
-10.4 | -3.2 | -7.3 | #302 |
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Pennsylvania offense vs Brown defense+5.9 pts
Brown offense vs Pennsylvania defense+2.1 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.