Our side
MoneylineDEL to win
ours 36%
Projected score
36–23
DEL – WKU
2026-10-27 · 7:00 PM
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium · Bowling Green, KY
CUSA game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Western Kentucky lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2025
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
80 ranks
Delaware Blue Hens #201 rush offense
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers #121 run defense
Pass game
edge Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
46 ranks
Delaware Blue Hens #122 pass offense
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers #76 pass defense
Run game
edge Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
81 ranks
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers #145 rush offense
Delaware Blue Hens #226 run defense
Pass game
even
39 ranks apart
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers #135 pass offense
Delaware Blue Hens #174 pass defense
Delaware Blue Hens
Balanced · 44% run
Avg pace
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Balanced · 49% run
Avg pace
Ryan Carty · 7-6 · offense-minded
Tyson Helton · 57-36
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Delaware Blue Hens
LB
Colin Gallagher
13 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#46 LB
WR
Da'Wain Lofton
7 rec · 206 yds · 1 TD
#85 WR
RB
Kaderris Roberts
27 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec
#109 RB
LB
Gavin Moul
16 tkl · 0.5 TFL
#188 LB
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
RB
Ajay Allen
121 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec
#106 RB
DB
Justin Brown
9 tkl · 1 INT
#319 DB
TE
Coleson Arends
2 rec · 18 yds · 1 TD
#92 TE
DB
Jaylen Lewis
13 tkl
#491 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Delaware offense vs Western Kentucky defense+12.4 pts
Western Kentucky offense vs Delaware defense+4.7 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 609 mi
Rest · context onlyHome team on 6 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.