← Matchups

Florida

SEC · 2-0 · power +20.0 · #38
Our numberUGA -5.4 no book has priced this game

Georgia

SEC · 2-0 · power +23.4 · #21
Our side
MoneylineUGA to win ours 57%
Projected score 25–30 FLA – UGA
2026-10-31 · 3:30 PM Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Atlanta, GA · neutral SEC game Indoors Early season

The books 1 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book FLA spreadUGA spread OverUnder FLA winUGA win FLA TT overFLA TT under UGA TT overUGA TT under
DraftKings

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Series Georgia lead 58–44–2 · 104 meetings since 1904
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Georgia Bulldogs 60 ranks
Florida Gators #80 rush offense Georgia Bulldogs #20 run defense
Pass game edge Georgia Bulldogs 131 ranks
Florida Gators #184 pass offense Georgia Bulldogs #53 pass defense
Run game even 16 ranks apart
Georgia Bulldogs #62 rush offense Florida Gators #78 run defense
Pass game edge Georgia Bulldogs 91 ranks
Georgia Bulldogs #77 pass offense Florida Gators #168 pass defense
Florida Gators Balanced · 51% run Ball-control Georgia Bulldogs Run-heavy · 59% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg
Billy Napier · 62-35 Kirby Smart · 117-21

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Florida Gators
DL Jeramiah McCloud 12 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 0.5 TFL #27 DL
RB Jadan Baugh 296 rush yds · 5 TD #12 RB
WR Vernell Brown III 9 rec · 160 yds · 2 TD #112 WR
DL LJ McCray 4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #207 DL
Georgia Bulldogs
RB Nate Frazier 127 rush yds · 4 TD · 1 rec #54 RB
QB Gunner Stockton 436 pass yds · 8 TD · 0 INT #39 QB
P Drew Miller 5 punts · 49.8 yd avg #22 P
WR Talyn Taylor 5 rec · 59 yds · 2 TD #298 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Florida GatorsSEC +20.0 +9.7 +10.3 #38
Georgia BulldogsSEC +23.4 +16.5 +6.9 #21

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Florida offense vs Georgia defense+2.8 pts
Georgia offense vs Florida defense+6.1 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.